manpho789 wrote:
I wonder what cameras will be like in, say, 10 years or perhaps less.
The Point and Shoot is dead, with smartphone cameras eclipsing them. Mirrorless makes complete sense, eliminating clunky mechanical stuff. A next step would be entirely electronic shutters, the mechanical shutter being failure prone and having other limitations. That is entirely likely, only quick dumping of the last sensor image (after transfer to buffer) being required. Think how far sensors and semiconductor technology has gone in 10 years. View finders could be eliminated too, with only a real time sensor generated 3” + display showing state of focus, along with various settings and parameters. The bright sunlight objection can be overcome by a detachable viewing hood. That should result in less eye strain and easier composition of the photo.
What all this adds up to is what might be called the “iCamera”. It will be just a flat device that mounts lenses on its front side, and has its view screen on the back side. It might be around 1/2” thick, enough to have a few buttons or wheels on the sides. Details can be argued about, but the electronic shutter, the elimination of the mirror and separate view finder, all adds up to a drastically simpler and lower cost camera. And a more capable and durable one. One might wonder whether Nikon, Canon or Sony would initiate such a product, of if some upstart company does. The big DSLR companies have a dilemma, whether to be first and capture a new camera paradigm, vs undermine their present markets in DSLR cameras.
I wonder what cameras will be like in, say, 10 yea... (
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I read these threads with amusement. I hear all the speculations about what the future technology might be and chuckle. Well, the future is here and has been here for many years. All these things you describe already exist. AND they are moving, their way into the consumer photography market.
I've been involved with spectroscopy for over 3 decades. I've watched the spectrometers change from big, slow, mechanical w/mechanical shutters (chopper wheels), 100lb (and larger) behemoths to small, electronic, high speed, high accuracy, low cost devices with reliability and durability orders of magnitude improved over the mechanical systems. Full systems, including optics and electronics that are smaller than a 1" cube. I still have Ocean Optics spectrometers in my drawers. And a spectrometer has all the elements of a camera just captures a different type of image.
The mirrorless cameras of today are incorporating much of the technology innovations I've seen in the spectroscopy market more than 20 years ago.
The cameras in the smartphones portent the future, starting off with single lens, electronic shutters and computer processing the image. They are moving to dual lens for improved images, different focal lengths and bokeh. Image quality in improving by leaps and bounds. That's the initial start. And did I say 'no moving parts'?
The Lytros camera used a large sensor (40Mb+) with a lens array giving various focal points and FL, simultaneously. Huge innovation. They weren't successful in the consumer market but has developed large (750MB+) systems for the cinema and broadcasting market and appears to be much more successful there.
The Light L16 continues this trend, just using a bunch of separate lens/sensors (i.e. sensor/lens array) and using computational power to finish the image. This gives them a significant advantage in sensor area, dynamic range, noise along with stereoscopic views and multi-focal length lens all firing at the same time easily giving it the potential to rival high end single sensor systems of yesterdays technology, but in a much smaller package. And their 50MP+ images looks very good.
We retirees would like to believe that our old buggy whips will continue to reign king forever. But as younger generations come into the photography field, they hold no preconceived notions or fond memories of old to prejudice their buying decisions.
We may deny, we may kick and buck, we may argue, we may cry and reminisce of the old days, but the technology of photography, just as everywhere else, is changing and changing rapidly.
Don't have to wait for 10 years to see the future, just look around folks.