Reuss Griffiths wrote:
We can pick at issues like methane as a greenhouse gas. It's a fossil fuel which we burn, not release into the atmosphere. When you cut to the quick, the only workable outcome is to get rid of all the subsidies and let EV compete with fossil fuels directly. The only way that can work is if we bring on far more nuke plants than currently exist. You're lucky if you have one in your back yard that supplies your power. You're also lucky that you live in a desert and no one cares if you build a wind farm or solar-powered plant there. But nuke plants would have to be on a nation-wide basis and there's not much likelihood of that happening in time to meet the increasing demand for electric due to transportation. As far as increasing gas prices, we have at least a 400 yr supply and would not expect prices to increase unless our government intervenes. If you think you're going to save money with electric, wait until you see what happens to electric prices once the transportation demands increase. And it won't just affect the cost of driving, it will affect everything electric like your cost for air conditioning.
What works in our system is to use the most economical and reliable form of energy until something better replaces it.
We can pick at issues like methane as a greenhouse... (
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Production of natural gas releases large amounts of methane into the atmosphere, both at the well head and during transmission.
I don't know about being lucky to have a nuke in my backyard. When I lived on Long Island, I had the Shoreham plant 13 miles away. It was a total disaster. Luckily, it was dismantled before delivering it's first kW of power. The project, well behind schedule and monstrously over budget, was mismanaged from day one. Corners were being cut and numerous coverups of errors and defects were found during government inspection. Company management, knowing full well that they were not going to get an operating license, ran a test which contaminated the reactor, driving the cost of dismantling up by orders of magnitude. Fortunately, Palo Verde is quite the opposite. It is the largest in the country and well run. It supplies power to AZ, CA and NV.
It is highly unlikely that many nukes will be built. Aside from the cost and time it takes to build them, there is a justifiable fear associated with them. I am aware that there is a new design type that is self limiting, and "cannot" run away, but that fact will get buried in the noise when an application for such a plant is made.
Why would you assume that just because we live in the desert that no one cares if we build wind or solar farms? The desert is far from a wasteland. It has an amazing ecology and stunning beauty. Every application for solar or wind get the same amount of opposition as an application in any other place.
As EVs propagate, there will be less need for gasoline, and fewer places to buy it. You might even need an app to find your nearest gas station. That will drive the prices up. You might even have a problem finding a place to repair your car. With fewer gas cars on the road, there will be fewer places to service them.
Before you point out the expense of battery replacement, I will tell you that the battery warranty on my car is that the battery will retain greater than 70% of capacity for 8 years and 120,000 miles. Most of the older Teslas on the road have passed 150,000 miles and still retain high capacity. By the time 8 years go by, I will probably want a new car, if for no other reason than taking advantage of technology advances beyond those that Tesla now downloads to us periodically.