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"There is No Happy Ending to America's Trump Problem"
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Aug 22, 2022 07:48:49   #
Kmgw9v Loc: Miami, Florida
 
"Debate about the search of Donald Trump’s Mar-a-Lago residence has settled into well-worn grooves. Mr. Trump and many Republicans have denounced the act as illegitimate. Attorney General Merrick Garland is staying mostly mum. And Democrats are struggling to contain their enthusiasm.

Liberal excitement is understandable. Mr. Trump faces potential legal jeopardy from the J*** 6 investigation in Congress and the Mar-a-Lago search. They anticipate fulfilling a dream going back to the earliest days of the Trump administration: to see him frog-marched to jail before the country and the world.

But this is a fantasy. There is no scenario following from the present that culminates in a happy ending for anyone, even for Democrats.

Down one path is the prosecution of the former president. This would be a Democratic administration putting the previous occupant of the White House, the ostensible head of the Republican Party and the current favorite to be the G.O.P. p**********l nominee in 2024, on trial. That would set an incredibly dangerous precedent. Imagine, each time the presidency is handed from one party to the other, an investigation by the new administration’s Justice

Department leads toward the investigation and possible indictment of its predecessor.
Some will say that Mr. Trump nonetheless deserves it — and he does. If Mr. Garland does not press charges against him for J*** 6 or the potential mishandling of classified government documents, Mr. Trump will have learned that becoming president has effectively immunized him from prosecution. That means the country would be facing a potential second term for Mr. Trump in which he is convinced that he can do wh**ever he wants with complete impunity.

That seems to point to the need to push forward with a case, despite the risk of turning it into a regular occurrence. As many of Mr. Trump’s detractors argue, the rule of law demands it — and failing to fulfill that demand could end up being extremely dangerous.

We caught a glimpse of those alternative risks as soon as the Mar-a-Lago raid was announced. Within hours, leading Republicans had issued inflammatory statements, and these statements would likely grow louder and more incendiary through any trial, both from Mr. Trump himself and from members of his party and its media rabble-rousers. (Though at a federal judge’s order a redacted version of the warrant affidavit may soon be released, so Mr. Trump and the rest of his party would have to contend with the government’s actual justification of the raid itself.)

If the matter culminates in an indictment and trial of Mr. Trump, the Republican argument would be more of what we heard day in and day out through his administration. His defenders would claim that every person ostensibly committed to the dispassionate upholding of the rule of law is in fact motivated by rank partisanship and a drive to self-aggrandizement. This would be directed at the attorney general, the F.B.I., the Justice Department and other branches of the so-called deep state. The spectacle would be corrosive, in effect convincing most Republican v**ers that appeals to the rule of law are invariably a sham.

But the nightmare wouldn’t stop there. What if Mr. Trump declares another run for the presidency just as he’s indicted and treats the trial as a circus illustrating the power of the Washington swamp and the need to put Republicans back in charge to drain it? It would be a risible claim, but potentially a politically effective one. And he might well continue this campaign even if convicted, possibly running for president from a jail cell. It would be Mr. Trump versus the System. He would be reviving an old American archetype: the folk-hero outlaw who takes on and seeks to take down the powerful in the name of the people.

We wouldn’t even avoid potentially calamitous consequences if Mr. Trump somehow ended up barred from running or his party opted for another candidate to be its nominee in 2024 — say, Ron DeSantis, the governor of Florida. How long do you think it would take for a freshly inaugurated President DeSantis to pardon a convicted and jailed Donald Trump? Hours? Minutes? And that move would probably be combined with a promise to investigate and indict Joe Biden for the various “crimes” he allegedly committed in office.

The instinct of Democrats is to angrily dismiss such concerns. But that doesn’t mean these consequences wouldn’t happen. Even if Mr. Garland’s motives and methods are models of judiciousness and restraint, the act of an attorney general of one party seeking to indict and convict a former and possibly future president of the other party is the ringing of a bell that cannot be unrung. It is guaranteed to be undertaken again, regardless of whether present and future accusations are justified.

As we’ve seen over and over again since Mr. T***p w*n the presidency, our system of governance presumes a certain base level of public spiritedness — at the level of the presidency, in Congress and in the e*****rate at large. When that is lacking — when an aspersive figure is elected, when he maintains strong popular support within his party and when that party remains e*******lly viable — high-minded efforts to act as antibodies defending the body politic from the spread of infection can end up doing enduring harm to the patient. Think of all those times during the Trump presidency when well-meaning sources inside and outside the administration ended up undermining their own credibility by hyping threats and overpromising evidence of wrongdoing and criminality.

That’s why it’s imperative we set aside the Plan A of prosecuting Mr. Trump. In its place, we should embrace a Plan B that defers the dream of a post-p**********l perp walk in favor of allowing the political process to run its course. If Mr. Trump is the G.O.P. nominee again in 2024, Democrats will have no choice but to defeat him yet again, hopefully by an even larger margin than they did last time.

Mr. Trump himself and his most dev**ed supporters will be no more likely to accept that outcome than they were after the 2020 e******n. The bigger the margin of his loss, the harder it will be for Mr. Trump to avoid looking like a loser, which is the outcome he dreads more than anything — and one that would be most likely to loosen his grip on his party.

There is an obvious risk: If Mr. Trump runs again, he might win. But that’s a risk we can’t avoid — which is why we may well have found ourselves in a situation with no unambivalently good options."

Damon Linker

Reply
Aug 22, 2022 07:53:05   #
Architect1776 Loc: In my mind
 
Kmgw9v wrote:
"Debate about the search of Donald Trump’s Mar-a-Lago residence has settled into well-worn grooves. Mr. Trump and many Republicans have denounced the act as illegitimate. Attorney General Merrick Garland is staying mostly mum. And Democrats are struggling to contain their enthusiasm.

Liberal excitement is understandable. Mr. Trump faces potential legal jeopardy from the J*** 6 investigation in Congress and the Mar-a-Lago search. They anticipate fulfilling a dream going back to the earliest days of the Trump administration: to see him frog-marched to jail before the country and the world.

But this is a fantasy. There is no scenario following from the present that culminates in a happy ending for anyone, even for Democrats.

Down one path is the prosecution of the former president. This would be a Democratic administration putting the previous occupant of the White House, the ostensible head of the Republican Party and the current favorite to be the G.O.P. p**********l nominee in 2024, on trial. That would set an incredibly dangerous precedent. Imagine, each time the presidency is handed from one party to the other, an investigation by the new administration’s Justice

Department leads toward the investigation and possible indictment of its predecessor.
Some will say that Mr. Trump nonetheless deserves it — and he does. If Mr. Garland does not press charges against him for J*** 6 or the potential mishandling of classified government documents, Mr. Trump will have learned that becoming president has effectively immunized him from prosecution. That means the country would be facing a potential second term for Mr. Trump in which he is convinced that he can do wh**ever he wants with complete impunity.

That seems to point to the need to push forward with a case, despite the risk of turning it into a regular occurrence. As many of Mr. Trump’s detractors argue, the rule of law demands it — and failing to fulfill that demand could end up being extremely dangerous.

We caught a glimpse of those alternative risks as soon as the Mar-a-Lago raid was announced. Within hours, leading Republicans had issued inflammatory statements, and these statements would likely grow louder and more incendiary through any trial, both from Mr. Trump himself and from members of his party and its media rabble-rousers. (Though at a federal judge’s order a redacted version of the warrant affidavit may soon be released, so Mr. Trump and the rest of his party would have to contend with the government’s actual justification of the raid itself.)

If the matter culminates in an indictment and trial of Mr. Trump, the Republican argument would be more of what we heard day in and day out through his administration. His defenders would claim that every person ostensibly committed to the dispassionate upholding of the rule of law is in fact motivated by rank partisanship and a drive to self-aggrandizement. This would be directed at the attorney general, the F.B.I., the Justice Department and other branches of the so-called deep state. The spectacle would be corrosive, in effect convincing most Republican v**ers that appeals to the rule of law are invariably a sham.

But the nightmare wouldn’t stop there. What if Mr. Trump declares another run for the presidency just as he’s indicted and treats the trial as a circus illustrating the power of the Washington swamp and the need to put Republicans back in charge to drain it? It would be a risible claim, but potentially a politically effective one. And he might well continue this campaign even if convicted, possibly running for president from a jail cell. It would be Mr. Trump versus the System. He would be reviving an old American archetype: the folk-hero outlaw who takes on and seeks to take down the powerful in the name of the people.

We wouldn’t even avoid potentially calamitous consequences if Mr. Trump somehow ended up barred from running or his party opted for another candidate to be its nominee in 2024 — say, Ron DeSantis, the governor of Florida. How long do you think it would take for a freshly inaugurated President DeSantis to pardon a convicted and jailed Donald Trump? Hours? Minutes? And that move would probably be combined with a promise to investigate and indict Joe Biden for the various “crimes” he allegedly committed in office.

The instinct of Democrats is to angrily dismiss such concerns. But that doesn’t mean these consequences wouldn’t happen. Even if Mr. Garland’s motives and methods are models of judiciousness and restraint, the act of an attorney general of one party seeking to indict and convict a former and possibly future president of the other party is the ringing of a bell that cannot be unrung. It is guaranteed to be undertaken again, regardless of whether present and future accusations are justified.

As we’ve seen over and over again since Mr. T***p w*n the presidency, our system of governance presumes a certain base level of public spiritedness — at the level of the presidency, in Congress and in the e*****rate at large. When that is lacking — when an aspersive figure is elected, when he maintains strong popular support within his party and when that party remains e*******lly viable — high-minded efforts to act as antibodies defending the body politic from the spread of infection can end up doing enduring harm to the patient. Think of all those times during the Trump presidency when well-meaning sources inside and outside the administration ended up undermining their own credibility by hyping threats and overpromising evidence of wrongdoing and criminality.

That’s why it’s imperative we set aside the Plan A of prosecuting Mr. Trump. In its place, we should embrace a Plan B that defers the dream of a post-p**********l perp walk in favor of allowing the political process to run its course. If Mr. Trump is the G.O.P. nominee again in 2024, Democrats will have no choice but to defeat him yet again, hopefully by an even larger margin than they did last time.

Mr. Trump himself and his most dev**ed supporters will be no more likely to accept that outcome than they were after the 2020 e******n. The bigger the margin of his loss, the harder it will be for Mr. Trump to avoid looking like a loser, which is the outcome he dreads more than anything — and one that would be most likely to loosen his grip on his party.

There is an obvious risk: If Mr. Trump runs again, he might win. But that’s a risk we can’t avoid — which is why we may well have found ourselves in a situation with no unambivalently good options."

Damon Linker
"Debate about the search of Donald Trump’s Ma... (show quote)


Ps.
Partly good comments here except it is President Trump.
The title never goes away.

Reply
Aug 22, 2022 08:49:01   #
Drbobcameraguy Loc: Eaton Ohio
 
Well written. My only point is both parties are corrupt. Look at liz Chaney. How did she amass such a fortune in 6 years in office. Look at Mitch McConnell's wife's parents. The same holds true for Democrats. We need to clean up ALL of the government. A very large job but if not done is and will lead to the end.

Reply
 
 
Aug 22, 2022 09:01:07   #
Architect1776 Loc: In my mind
 
Drbobcameraguy wrote:
Well written. My only point is both parties are corrupt. Look at liz Chaney. How did she amass such a fortune in 6 years in office. Look at Mitch McConnell's wife's parents. The same holds true for Democrats. We need to clean up ALL of the government. A very large job but if not done is and will lead to the end.


In other words drain the swamp.

Reply
Aug 22, 2022 09:01:12   #
dpullum Loc: Tampa Florida
 
From the above post: "If the matter culminates in an indictment and trial of Mr. Trump, the Republican argument would be more of what we heard day in and day out through his administration. His defenders would claim that every person ostensibly committed to the dispassionate upholding of the rule of law is in fact motivated by rank partisanship and a drive to self-aggrandizement. This would be directed at the attorney general, the F.B.I., the Justice Department and other branches of the so-called deep state. The spectacle would be corrosive, in effect convincing most Republican v**ers that appeals to the rule of law are invariably a sham. But the nightmare wouldn’t stop there."

To turn the nightmare into a dream scenario, the Republicans can cleverly arrange to assassinate Trump and blame it one a radical far left wing bespectacled Trotsky looking individual who will quickly be quieted [as was Oswald] by a head shot by a right wing radical who will then quickly take his own life. Information trail terminated quickly as planned. Trump will then be a "Martyr Celebratory" the in-spirit idealized head of the strict "law and order" [F*****t] party for many decades.

The republicans will pick a little know Facebook writer who has no family and few friends ... is photo will closely resemble Trotsky opening the linkage of democrats to c*******m.
Photo from: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Trotskyism

Radical Leftist Democrat
Radical Leftist Democrat...

Reply
Aug 22, 2022 09:13:00   #
dpullum Loc: Tampa Florida
 
The post by Kmgw9v was from an editorial by Damon Linker of the New York Times and should have been referenced as such:
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/08/21/opinion/trump-fbi-republicans.html

By the way, Trotsky was a spokesman for democracy. " working class self-emancipation and mass democracy. Trotskyists are critical of Stalinism as they oppose Joseph Stalin's theory of socialism in one country in favor of Trotsky's theory of permanent revolution. Trotskyists also criticize the bureaucracy and anti-democratic current that developed in the Soviet Union under Stalin."
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Trotskyism

Reply
Aug 22, 2022 09:53:39   #
D.E.Kells Loc: Central OHIO
 
Architect1776 wrote:
In other words drain the swamp.


Term Limits?!

Reply
 
 
Aug 22, 2022 09:58:49   #
DennyT Loc: Central Missouri woods
 
D.E.Kells wrote:
Term Limits?!


We already have term limits . It called the v**e!!
But people shirk their duty!!

Reply
Aug 22, 2022 10:07:45   #
soba1 Loc: Somewhere In So Ca
 
Thats because they keep stirring the pot, and folks keep feeding the insanity.

Reply
Aug 22, 2022 10:17:44   #
Racmanaz Loc: Sunny Tucson!
 
DennyT wrote:
We already have term limits . It called the v**e!!
But people shirk their duty!!


That's not term limits.

Reply
Aug 22, 2022 10:40:45   #
Architect1776 Loc: In my mind
 
D.E.Kells wrote:
Term Limits?!


The problem with that is the lame duck syndrome.
Example, a senator would have 6 years of not giving a crap and could be devastating in close v**es.
I prefer a better educated e*****rate and politicians like Washington who self termed out.

Reply
 
 
Aug 22, 2022 10:53:35   #
DennyT Loc: Central Missouri woods
 
Racmanaz wrote:
That's not term limits.


Certainly not in those exact words.
But the results are the same and reflect the will of the people.

Term limits on my opinion just give people an “out” in effect they get to say “ not my fault “ instead of taking responsibility .

Reply
Aug 22, 2022 11:54:29   #
Racmanaz Loc: Sunny Tucson!
 
DennyT wrote:
Certainly not in those exact words.
But the results are the same and reflect the will of the people.

Term limits on my opinion just give people an “out” in effect they get to say “ not my fault “ instead of taking responsibility .


Facts don't matter what you or I think or think it should be. The fact is there is no term limits for congress but there is for president.

Reply
Aug 22, 2022 12:08:05   #
Drbobcameraguy Loc: Eaton Ohio
 
Yes the founders never meant the representative s to make a career out of it. It was a service to the country then you went back to your business. The problem is we get basically 2 people to choose from. Republican or Democrat. An Independent has almost no chance due to no money.

Reply
Aug 22, 2022 12:40:24   #
DennyT Loc: Central Missouri woods
 
Drbobcameraguy wrote:
Yes the founders never meant the representative s to make a career out of it. It was a service to the country then you went back to your business. The problem is we get basically 2 people to choose from. Republican or Democrat. An Independent has almost no chance due to no money.

Great post ! That is a major party of the problem. When those tow martyrs set the rules fir debate and b****ts it eliminates the voice of after candyares. AND. V**ers are too lazy to last.
There is simple solotuon open primaries with top two candidates going to general.

Reply
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