Rich1939 wrote:
... First, there is no professional support structure in place by Nikon for these cameras....
I don't know what you mean by this. The entire existing Nikon manufacture, distribution, marketing, sales, repair and customer support network that Nikon already maintains will handle these cameras in the same manner as they do their DSLRs, no doubt. Cameras costing $2000 and $3600 respectively - considerably more by the time you acquire lenses and/or adapters, as well as other accessories such as the planned vertical/battery grip, XQD memory cards, etc. - are clearly intended for professionals, too. Amateurs can buy a DSLR with two lenses for $500 or less.
Rich1939 wrote:
... Second, as mirror-less is the future, Nikon needed to get their feet wet sooner rather than later.
Nikon "wet their feet" with mirrorless years ago. The had a major "fail" with the Nikon 1 system, introduced in 2011. Their mistake was designing a camera around a CX (1") sensor, smaller than anyone else was using. I suspect they were thinking mirrorless were going to be point-n-shoot cameras with interchangeable lenses... one step on the customer's path to eventually owning a DSLR.... rather than an alternative to DSLRs that needs to appeal to advanced amateurs and pros as well. Canon made the same mistake.... Fuji, Oly & Panasonic, and especially Sony all approached mirrorless more "seriously".
Rich1939 wrote:
Third, the new mount gives Nikon a more competitive vehicle to work with in lens design than the F mount allowed and will certainly help down the road.
Yes, this is quite true. It's just that Canon "bit the same bullet" and made the difficult transition 30 years ago!
Rich1939 wrote:
If these two cameras are Nikon's nose under Sony’s tent, it’s a start and will help to keep current Nikon users at home as they continue to develop the line. Yes the new cameras leave many people wanting, but then the next camera that appeals to everyone will be the first to master that little trick. I think this is the beginning of a different product line and Nikon has produced a product that will get them into the game and at the same time it will give them valuable market information for their next moves.
If these two cameras are Nikon's nose under Sony’s... (
show quote)
The digital camera is essentially a computer. And we all know that any computer is obsolete and "old technology" by the time it reaches store shelves. Same with cameras..... especially a new type such as mirrorless which are evolving rapidly. We actually saw similarly fast evolution of DSLRs in the late 1990s to approx. 2010.... The pace of DSLR innovation and obsolescence has slowed in recent years, coinciding with the rapid growth in popularity of MILC.
Rich1939 wrote:
The DSLR is going to around for a very long time yet. Nikon and its customers are too invested in it for it not to be but, any well run company has to look to the future.
I agree. As neat as mirrorless might be, for some things DSLRs are still a better choice. I'd happily use a full frame mirrorless for landscapes, portraiture, macro work. But for sports, wildlife and other types of action photographer there are a number of reasons a DSLR is preferable. A crop sensor (APS-C or micro 4/3) MILC would also be great for travel.... Full frame MILC, not so much (little difference in size and weight, compared to FF DLSRs).
I would expect to see some of the innovations being implemented in MILC cross over into DSLRs.... and vice versa. In fact, we've already seen some of that. For example, Canon's M-series MILC got significant revision and upgrade thanks to Dual Pixel Auto Focus (DPAF). Introduced in their M5 and now being used in all models, for many potential buyers DPAF is a game changer compared to the contrast detection method of focusing that Canon used on their earlier MILC. But DPAF was actually first introduced in 2013, as the method of focus during Live View in their 70D DSLR. It wasn't incorporated into one of their mirrorless cameras until over a year later.
However, in their APS-C MILC Canon is still using firmware and menus adapted from their point-n-shoot cameras (even though those MILC use essentially the same sensor and processors as their APS-C DSLRs). I expect they will do differently with the full frame MILC they're promising soon (to compete with Sony and Nikon). Some are expecting an announcement from Canon within the next month or so (but they are being much more secretive about it than Nikon was with their Zs).
The AF systems of the Nikon Z are impressive, how they cover the entire image area (the number of AF points might be a bit over the top!). That's something many DSLR users have been wanting for a long time. I'm sure that's much more easily implemented when the AF system is embedded in the image sensor, than it is with a separate array of sensors like DSLRs use.
All the talk about the Nikon Z is based on limited info.... little to no actual hands on experience. So a lot remains to be seen. Once the cameras are out in real world use we will no doubt hear both positive and negative commentary about them. Some things will lead to corrections with the existing models or further innovation in future models. Other things we may just have to accept and learn to live with.... Or keep using our DSLRs instead, if they serve our particular needs better.
A positive side-effect of the Nikon Z launch should be that the backlog of orders for D850 might be resolved pretty quickly! There also should be an interesting increase in availability of used DSLRs, as some people swap them to try out the new camera. I don't expect to see a stampede, though. Most pros will stick with what they know and use now, aren't "early adopters" of new technology. They'll wait for a while, let others do the "beta testing" and work out any bugs, and watch to see if the new cameras prove themselves.