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Sony Prediction
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Aug 31, 2022 07:46:23   #
jerryc41 Loc: Catskill Mts of NY
 
According to a Sony executive, cell phone cameras will be better than DSLRs by 2024. I thought that was an interesting comment. By 2024, DSLR sales will be very low, and new models will probably be non-existent. When was the last time Sony made a DSLR? They can denigrate cameras that they don't offer.

Of course, "better" is a word with unlimited meaning. I can't wait till 2024 to see what cell phones are like.

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Aug 31, 2022 07:54:11   #
BebuLamar
 
jerryc41 wrote:
According to a Sony executive, cell phone cameras will be better than DSLRs by 2024. I thought that was an interesting comment. By 2024, DSLR sales will be very low, and new models will probably be non-existent. When was the last time Sony made a DSLR? They can denigrate cameras that they don't offer.

Of course, "better" is a word with unlimited meaning. I can't wait till 2024 to see what cell phones are like.
According to a Sony executive, cell phone cameras ... (show quote)


The last time Sony made the DSLR was a long time ago. Before they made the SLT series. They abadoned the DSLR when they made the SLT series which took the A mount lenses.

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Aug 31, 2022 09:25:48   #
zug55 Loc: Naivasha, Kenya, and Austin, Texas
 
jerryc41 wrote:
According to a Sony executive, cell phone cameras will be better than DSLRs by 2024. I thought that was an interesting comment. By 2024, DSLR sales will be very low, and new models will probably be non-existent. When was the last time Sony made a DSLR? They can denigrate cameras that they don't offer.

Of course, "better" is a word with unlimited meaning. I can't wait till 2024 to see what cell phones are like.
According to a Sony executive, cell phone cameras ... (show quote)


I think that we have to take this comment with a grain of salt. There is a lot of new technology going into cell phone cameras, and AI is making inroads into this segment in a way we do not see in MILCs (yet). By 2024, the most recent DSLR model will be almost a decade old--there definitely will not be any new models. So it easy to see the technology leap. Whether a cell phone in 2024 will have better resolution than a Nikon D850 definitely is questionable. But in terms of technology it will be superior.

While Sony has not developed new DSLR models in a decade, they stopped selling models like A99ii and A77ii only a couple of years ago. By 2024, Canon and Nikon may stop selling DSLRs as well. They already have been thinning out the models they offer.

I would not call that "denigrating" DSLRs. It is simply an educated opinion and prediction acknowledging what is going on in the industry: there is a lot of innovation in cell phone technology while it has stopped in DSLR technology many years ago.

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Aug 31, 2022 11:54:20   #
bsprague Loc: Lacey, WA, USA
 
Cell phones already are better at some things for some people.

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Aug 31, 2022 13:33:32   #
jerryc41 Loc: Catskill Mts of NY
 
zug55 wrote:
I think that we have to take this comment with a grain of salt. There is a lot of new technology going into cell phone cameras, and AI is making inroads into this segment in a way we do not see in MILCs (yet). By 2024, the most recent DSLR model will be almost a decade old--there definitely will not be any new models. So it easy to see the technology leap. Whether a cell phone in 2024 will have better resolution than a Nikon D850 definitely is questionable. But in terms of technology it will be superior.

While Sony has not developed new DSLR models in a decade, they stopped selling models like A99ii and A77ii only a couple of years ago. By 2024, Canon and Nikon may stop selling DSLRs as well. They already have been thinning out the models they offer.

I would not call that "denigrating" DSLRs. It is simply an educated opinion and prediction acknowledging what is going on in the industry: there is a lot of innovation in cell phone technology while it has stopped in DSLR technology many years ago.
I think that we have to take this comment with a g... (show quote)


I think Sony is working adding an E-Mount to the cell phone they are developing.

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Aug 31, 2022 13:37:29   #
mwsilvers Loc: Central New Jersey
 
jerryc41 wrote:
According to a Sony executive, cell phone cameras will be better than DSLRs by 2024. I thought that was an interesting comment. By 2024, DSLR sales will be very low, and new models will probably be non-existent. When was the last time Sony made a DSLR? They can denigrate cameras that they don't offer.

Of course, "better" is a word with unlimited meaning. I can't wait till 2024 to see what cell phones are like.
According to a Sony executive, cell phone cameras ... (show quote)

You are correct about the vague use of the word better. Better in what respect?

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Aug 31, 2022 13:39:52   #
mwsilvers Loc: Central New Jersey
 
jerryc41 wrote:
I think Sony is working adding an E-Mount to the cell phone they are developing.


I'm looking forward to a cell phone that can duplicate the images made by a 70-200 f/2.8 lens and even better them, if Sony is correct

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Aug 31, 2022 13:42:59   #
mwsilvers Loc: Central New Jersey
 
bsprague wrote:
Cell phones already are better at some things for some people.

That is correct. The use of the word "better" is too vague. Better could relate to either usability or quality, and perhaps other things as well.

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Aug 31, 2022 14:03:04   #
bsprague Loc: Lacey, WA, USA
 
I was at Yellowstone last week. There are photographers using spotting scopes using cheap smartphone attachment brackets getting "better" images of distant wildlife than the Nikanon shooters with monstrous lenses. Maybe not better in a pixel peeping sense, but certainly better in a composition/framing sense.

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Aug 31, 2022 14:25:27   #
BebuLamar
 
mwsilvers wrote:
That is correct. The use of the word "better" is too vague. Better could relate to either usability or quality, and perhaps other things as well.


Because all cell phones are mirrorless and mirrorless is better. No? I don't know.

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Sep 1, 2022 09:34:47   #
Hereford Loc: Palm Coast, FL
 
bsprague wrote:
I was at Yellowstone last week. There are photographers using spotting scopes using cheap smartphone attachment brackets getting "better" images of distant wildlife than the Nikanon shooters with monstrous lenses. Maybe not better in a pixel peeping sense, but certainly better in a composition/framing sense.


Don't understand what you are conveying here. Are iPhone shooters using a spotting scope to extend the focal length of their wide angle phone lenses ???? Near as I can determine the iPhone 13 Pro Max has three lenses: ultra wide angle, wide angle, and a 3x zoom. I fail to too see how that is remotely useful to photograph wildlife that needs a 600mm+ lens reach.

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Sep 1, 2022 09:43:49   #
Festus Loc: North Dakota
 
jerryc41 wrote:
According to a Sony executive, cell phone cameras will be better than DSLRs by 2024. I thought that was an interesting comment. By 2024, DSLR sales will be very low, and new models will probably be non-existent. When was the last time Sony made a DSLR? They can denigrate cameras that they don't offer.

Of course, "better" is a word with unlimited meaning. I can't wait till 2024 to see what cell phones are like.
According to a Sony executive, cell phone cameras ... (show quote)


Therin lies the big problem. Too many people believeing Sony's and Canon's marketing lies.

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Sep 1, 2022 09:52:56   #
tcthome Loc: NJ
 
jerryc41 wrote:
According to a Sony executive, cell phone cameras will be better than DSLRs by 2024. I thought that was an interesting comment. By 2024, DSLR sales will be very low, and new models will probably be non-existent. When was the last time Sony made a DSLR? They can denigrate cameras that they don't offer.

Of course, "better" is a word with unlimited meaning. I can't wait till 2024 to see what cell phones are like.
According to a Sony executive, cell phone cameras ... (show quote)


From B&H in my u-tube notifications this morning.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Jw4i9mVxoDo

https://www.bhphotovideo.com/c/product/1724725-REG/sony_xqcq62_b_xperia_5_iv_dual_sim.html

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Sep 1, 2022 11:13:35   #
kenArchi Loc: Seal Beach, CA
 
Better.
Same composition, same light, same time, same, same, same.

So far I have not seen ANYONE do a comparison photo between a phone and any camera.

Just blah, blah, blah.

Wouldn't you be interested in seeing the photos side by side?

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Sep 1, 2022 11:33:03   #
bsprague Loc: Lacey, WA, USA
 
Hereford wrote:
Don't understand what you are conveying here. Are iPhone shooters using a spotting scope to extend the focal length of their wide angle phone lenses ???? Near as I can determine the iPhone 13 Pro Max has three lenses: ultra wide angle, wide angle, and a 3x zoom. I fail to too see how that is remotely useful to photograph wildlife that needs a 600mm+ lens reach.


I will try to explain by a story. I was standing in a line along the road at Yellowstone getting footage of a bear eating a bison it killed. It filled about less than a quarter of my viewfinder at 800 mm. Next to me was a guy who asked, "You see the eagle in the tree wait its turn?" Not even close to an opportunity for me.

His daughter was busy with his Nikon so he set up a spotting scope on a tripod, scanned the tree line and spotted the eagle that I could not see at all. He snapped a bracket to his scope with what he said is available for cheap on the internet. Then he snapped his iPhone to the bracket. I don't know which of the three phone lenses he used or how he set the phone. The eagle perfectly filled the phone screen and he pushed the button to record Apples best video quality.

That was a couple years ago. On subsequent Yellowstone trips I've seen more than a few photographers doing this. I have not yet bought a spotting scope. But relative to this topic, it may be that for this father, he had decided his phone was better than the DSLR he relegated to his daughter.

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