Not only is your math correct, but because it does not attempt to differentiate infection rates between age groups nor death rates between those of different ages who get infected (in addition to not estimating asymptomatic folks), the actual survival rate for folks under 55 is in excess of 99.8% , a number far higher than pneumonia, and a number on par with the seasonal flu. It's only the older who are at substantially higher risk.

This stat alone is proof that the economy should chug along and schools should be open. Sports, band, choir, cheer, drama, etc should ALL be back in place. The economy, as a whole, is powered by the 55 and under group.

A post from me showing the numbers as of a few days ago:

Here is the only location where the CDC puts useful stats, but they are obfuscating lately, with overlapping age brackets.

https://data.cdc.gov/NCHS/Provisional-COVID-19-Death-Counts-by-Sex-Age-and-S/9bhg-hcku

Taking the data from age 0-55 the total covid deaths are 18830.
Then taking the age demographics from this link and an estimate of 330 million US residents:
https://www.statista.com/statistics/241488/population-of-the-us-by-sex-and-age/

one gets a population of 0-55 at 69% of the US population

69% of the 11 million Covid infections is 7 590 000, should the distribution be approximately the same as the overall percentage....

18830 / 7 590 000 = .00248 or 99.752% survival rate for those under 55, not 60 as I stated. That number, too, assumes an equal infection rate across ages, and we all know that the 18-35 bracket are WAY more likely to be infected than older folks who have a just reason to fear Covid.

Adjusted for infection rates, the survival per infection for those under 55 is more than 99.8%

I for one cite real numbers, presuming we are trusting the CDC anyway. The news IS good, especially with 2 vaccines coming to market months or even years earlier than CNN spent months 'fact-checking'.

I got interested in the actual overall percentages we are dealing with for Covid infections and deaths and the results somewhat shocked me. I looked up the total USA population (not sure if this includes undocumented persons) and found the figure to currently be 331 million. I then looked up the current numbers for Covid infections and deaths at around 12 million infections and around 254,000 deaths. While I don't want to belittle the fact that people are dying from this infection and that these infections are on the rise, I calculated from this data that the total number of infections is around 3.7% and the total deaths are around .08% of the total population. This also calculates to around a 2.2% death rate for those infected. Please check my math for yourself!

Anyway, it sounds to me like the math shows that we are doing a reasonably good job of containing and treating this new virus even if the numbers are rising again.
Although I don't know the actual definition of a "Pandemic," these percentages seem to be rather low when you consider that 96.3% of the total population has managed to stay uninfected since February and 99.92% have not died from it either. Again, I don't want to belittle those that have suffered and/or lost loved ones due to this infection, but with the Governor of this State once again closing down schools, shutting down restaurants, bars, and other businesses, I have to wonder why the vast majority of the population has to give up their jobs, businesses, and incomes due to government mandates, especially when democracy is supposed to be majority rules. Sure we need to try to control this infection and everyone should be smart enough to not gather in large numbers, wear masks, and use proper distancing, but do we really need to shut down life as we know it and send many businesses and employees into bankruptcy, etc. Geese, we can't all live in total isolation and the economy may never recover if we keep shutting everything down. At least in my opinion, the government should be more concerned with getting a viable vaccine distributed as quickly as possible. Frankly, even the drug giant Phizer has stated that their vaccine is and has been ready to go and 95% effective, but held back the application for approval for political reasons until after the election. That's criminal in my eyes, but approval and distribution should be the highest priority for all involved at this time!

Not only is your math correct, but because it does not attempt to differentiate infection rates between age groups nor death rates between those of different ages who get infected (in addition to not estimating asymptomatic folks), the actual survival rate for folks under 55 is in excess of 99.8% , a number far higher than pneumonia, and a number on par with the seasonal flu. It's only the older who are at substantially higher risk.

This stat alone is proof that the economy should chug along and schools should be open. Sports, band, choir, cheer, drama, etc should ALL be back in place. The economy, as a whole, is powered by the 55 and under group.

A post from me showing the numbers as of a few days ago:

Here is the only location where the CDC puts useful stats, but they are obfuscating lately, with overlapping age brackets.

https://data.cdc.gov/NCHS/Provisional-COVID-19-Death-Counts-by-Sex-Age-and-S/9bhg-hcku

Taking the data from age 0-55 the total covid deaths are 18830.
Then taking the age demographics from this link and an estimate of 330 million US residents:
https://www.statista.com/statistics/241488/population-of-the-us-by-sex-and-age/

one gets a population of 0-55 at 69% of the US population

69% of the 11 million Covid infections is 7 590 000, should the distribution be approximately the same as the overall percentage....

18830 / 7 590 000 = .00248 or 99.752% survival rate for those under 55, not 60 as I stated. That number, too, assumes an equal infection rate across ages, and we all know that the 18-35 bracket are WAY more likely to be infected than older folks who have a just reason to fear Covid.

Adjusted for infection rates, the survival per infection for those under 55 is more than 99.8%

I for one cite real numbers, presuming we are trusting the CDC anyway. The news IS good, especially with 2 vaccines coming to market months or even years earlier than CNN spent months 'fact-checking'.

The problem is not your math but your analysis and conclusion. But lets take your reasoning and apply it to another cataclysmisc ecent: WWII.

At the end of the conflict we had over 12 million under arms, and yet we suffered only 407000 combat deaths. Let's see...thats O.0033. By your analysis, WWII was no biggie, right?


And while on the subject, the 407k was after 4 years of war. COVID has given us 254k in 8 months. Let that sink in.

Oh, and one more thing: Doctors have to make life and death decisions about who gets care and who does not because our medical infrastructure is overwhelmed. So the dreaded Obamacare death panels have arrived at last. Only they have nothing to so with the ACA.