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Statistics are.convincing to those who don't know statistics.
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Sep 6, 2020 13:12:43   #
DeanS Loc: Capital City area of North Carolina
 
tomad wrote:
At least I'm above average in something!



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Sep 6, 2020 14:01:01   #
Dannj
 
Probability might be explained thusly:
It is 100 % certain that some Hoggers do not read previous replies before posting their own reply.

To determine the statistics:
Read thru the replies to any post and count the dentical replies.

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Sep 6, 2020 14:11:40   #
robertjerl Loc: Corona, California
 
[quote=DWU2]Two thoughts:
1. Take a look at the book, [i]"How to Lie With Statistics....

2. If a weather forecaster says there's a 70% chance of rain in the region, does this mean -
a. There's a 70% chance it will rain somewhere in the region
b. There's a 70% chance it'll rain throughout the region
c. There's a 100% chance that it'll rain in 70% of the region[/quote

YES!!! THE ANSWER IS "D" ALL OF THE ABOVE!

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Sep 6, 2020 14:38:58   #
srg
 
JADAV wrote:
I used to believe that 50% of the population was of lower than average intelligence but as I grow older I'm becoming convinced that it is a far higher percentage than that!


🤣😂😊

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Sep 6, 2020 15:01:56   #
gpc
 
"There are three kinds of lies: lies, damned lies, and statistics."

-Author in dispute

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Sep 6, 2020 15:04:36   #
Curmudgeon Loc: SE Arizona
 
I had a Stat instructor who told me: "Give me a data set and tell me what you want to prove and I will find a 'valid' way to prove it.

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Sep 6, 2020 15:18:31   #
Marionsho Loc: Kansas
 
Dannj wrote:
Probability might be explained thusly:
It is 100 % certain that some Hoggers do not read previous replies before posting their own reply.

To determine the statistics:
Read thru the replies to any post and count the dentical replies.

I was going to say what gpc said, but I read it before I posted a reply.
Does that lower your percentage to 99%?
I'm just certain that statistics don't lie. Haha

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Sep 6, 2020 15:30:24   #
robertjerl Loc: Corona, California
 
Marionsho wrote:
I was going to say what gpc said, but I read it before I posted a reply.
Does that lower your percentage to 99%?
I'm just certain that statistics don't lie. Haha


You can arrange a series of True facts together to = a lie. You can also string a bunch of lies together to = the truth. I'm not sure which requires the most skill/knowledge but probably the latter.

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Sep 6, 2020 15:31:42   #
Starman441 Loc: Iguana Land, Fl.
 
twice_shooter wrote:
Baseball is ninety percent mental. The other half is physical - Yogi Berra



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Sep 6, 2020 15:32:05   #
Starman441 Loc: Iguana Land, Fl.
 
Retired CPO wrote:
My wife is a statistician. She tells me I shouldn't use any of my limited brainpower on these things. 50% chance I'll be wrong.



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Sep 6, 2020 15:33:00   #
Starman441 Loc: Iguana Land, Fl.
 
usnret wrote:
There is a 99% chance I will come up with many great excuses not to mow the lawn tomorrow. There is also a 99% chance the misses will shoot them all down



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Sep 6, 2020 15:36:58   #
Starman441 Loc: Iguana Land, Fl.
 
HOHIMER wrote:
What is the probability the sun will come up in the morning?


Maybe ZERO! I've been told that the earth rotates and exposes us to the sun. But I can't prove it.

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Sep 6, 2020 15:41:17   #
Marionsho Loc: Kansas
 
robertjerl wrote:
You can arrange a series of True facts together to = a lie. You can also string a bunch of lies together to = the truth. I'm not sure which requires the most skill/knowledge but probably the latter.



Reply
Sep 6, 2020 16:34:55   #
John7199 Loc: Eastern Mass.
 
SteveR wrote:
Ask the next 30 people you see what their birthdays are. Chances are, one of them will have your birth date (not year).


I always thought that of the 30 two will have the same birthday, not necessarily your birthday. That way you are nit trying to match a specific date, i.e. yours.

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Sep 6, 2020 16:57:06   #
Drbobcameraguy Loc: Eaton Ohio
 
Curmudgeon wrote:
I had a Stat instructor who told me: "Give me a data set and tell me what you want to prove and I will find a 'valid' way to prove it.


The sad fact is he is 100% correct. Everyone puts to much faith in statistics. It is almost impossible to see if they are lying or not.

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