rehess wrote:
Actually not. These are old facts. Current infections are what matters today.
Looking at recent infections, FL and TX are very similar to each other and exponentially increasing. In both states, recent cases DWARF “East Coast” cases. Hospitals feel ‘under siege’ in FL and TX, and now NY controls entry from these states instead of the reverse.
Uh, no, they aren’t facts, they are current as of the end of June. Please don’t purposefully mislead by pretending cumulative data are “old facts” as that is intellectually weak.
Here’s some very recent days for you, State, Date, Cases, Deaths....
Fla, 7/1, 6583, 45
NJ, 7/1, 3432, 389
Tx, 7/1, 8076, 57
Az, 7/1, 4877, 88
Ca, 6/29/ 6367, 44 (I could not find 7/1 for Cali)
Yes, many states have large percentage increase in cases, are testing the shit out of their states. As you can see, Fla, Tx, Az, and Cali are WELL BEHIND NJ in deaths and, by the way, death rates.
Let’s go further, though, shall we....the updated death rates per 100,000 include.....
NJ. 169
NY. 165
Conn 121
Mass. 117
RI. 90
D.C. 78
These are the top 6 death rates in the U.S., in order.
Now, then stars you seem to fixate on....
Az. 23 (20th of all states)
Fla. 16 (25th of all states)
Tx. 8 (42nd of all states)
Now, simply put, these states were SO MUCH BETTER OFF then those eastern coastal states that they have a long way to go to catch up, and it’s clear that NJ, as an example, is still screwed. Also, it’s clear that the east coast death marches by the Democrat governors was a prime cause of these horrible numbers that did skew the entire country, and I will point out that Tx and Fla, in particular, did a great job early on of NOT creating such death marches by actually following the science and data by PROTECTING these most vulnerable groups.
Also note that versus NY both Tx and Fla Have more people and the percent of those over 60 (ie vulnerable) are higher in both Fla and Az, and about the same or slightly lower in Tx.
Having said all of that, I do believe the COVID team is doing the right thing in following the changes by city and county and in having CDC teams in every state. However, when getting all political or panicky over percent changes one does need to be aware of the base from which those percentages are derived.
I also believe that as in all experiments, it’s necessary to test change, measure it, and respond accordingly.
To close, the large proportion of new cases in Tx, Fla, and Az appear to be younger people, and those are the ones protesting, rioting, going to bars and drinking until the early mornings, and not wearing masks.