bobericLoc: Quiet Corner, Connecticut. Ex long Islander
Nalle wrote:
https://www.technologyreview.com/s/615358/worst-case-coronavirus-scenario-214-million-amThis kind of nonsenseericans-infected-17-million-dead/
THis kind of nonsense is exactly what's causing the silly panic of people hoarding tiolet paper. The whole thing will be over when it warms up, some time in july or august
What a bunch of garbage. I'd be surprised if 500 Americans died of it by the end of the flu season.
This post alone contains the implication of untruth. No expert expects this virus to cease causing harm at end of local “flu season”; if it did, Tom Hanks would not have been hospitalized in warm Australia. Mr Trump himself said the emergency may be over by July.
As Ed McMahon used to say, "You are correct, Sir!"
However, there are more complications. If no new cases emerge at all, the death rate will still go up because there are some ill people laying in hospital beds right now who haven't died yet but probably will eventually. That will bring the rate up. On the other hand, there are certainly more cases out there right now that have not been tested and never will because they are just not very sick. If you can count them, then the death rate goes back down.
That mortality rate that you quoted of 3.6% was based on Chinese deaths which were unusually high, and has since been revised down several times, in some estimates as low as .05%. China has many compounding factors to kill more sick people such as heavy smoking, air pollution, and unsanitary conditions. Italy's rate is also extremely high, but South Korea is right at or just below 1%. Israel has the most number of people infected without having a single death, 304. They list only four of those people in serious or critical condition.
Here's the master list of all countries that updates every day:
As Ed McMahon used to say, "You are correct, ... (show quote)
So basically the Lefties are hoping for the death rate itself to be much higher because of their hatred for Trump is stronger than their love for people's health and life.
This post alone contains the implication of untruth. No expert expects this virus to cease causing harm at end of local “flu season”; if it did, Tom Hanks would not have been hospitalized in warm Australia. Mr Trump himself said the emergency may be over by July.
That's not true, the influx of influenza in the colder season largely dissipates in warmer weather, yet there are still some remnants of the virus all throughout the year.
Problem with this scenario is that the other stuff has been around forever. Covid19 is new and uncharted territory. And has only just started.
All those other viruses had a start too, and nothing disastrous happened. You must have forgotten AIDS, SARS, MERSA, Swine Flu, Avian Bird Flu, Mad Cow disease, or even the Hong Kong Flu.
This post alone contains the implication of untruth. No expert expects this virus to cease causing harm at end of local “flu season”; if it did, Tom Hanks would not have been hospitalized in warm Australia. Mr Trump himself said the emergency may be over by July.
Tom Hanks going to the hospital is not evidence that the epidemic will last forever.
So basically the Lefties are hoping for the death rate itself to be much higher because of their hatred for Trump is stronger than their love for people's health and life.
That's not true, the influx of influenza in the colder season largely dissipates in warmer weather, yet there are still some remnants of the virus all throughout the year.