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Joe Biden left a mark on the Extreme Right last night!
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Mar 10, 2024 11:43:25   #
DennyT Loc: Central Missouri woods
 
FrumCA wrote:
Sticking to the topic of inflation and wages, you might want to consider the facts. Since Biden took office -
- The annual inflation rate for the United States was 3.1% for the 12 months ending January, compared to the previous rate of 3.4%, according to U.S. Labor Department data published on Feb. 13, 2024. The next inflation update is scheduled for release on March 12 at 8:30 a.m. ET, providing information on the inflation rate for the 12 months ending February 2024. Look at the chart(s) to compare Biden to Trump - https://www.usinflationcalculator.com/inflation/current-inflation-rates/
- Inflation spiked to the highest level in over 40 years. Despite recent moderation, consumer prices are up nearly 18% overall during Biden’s time. Gasoline is up 29%.
- Average weekly earnings haven’t kept pace with prices. After adjusting for inflation, “real” weekly earnings declined 3.4%.
Sticking to the topic of inflation and wages, you ... (show quote)



Please tell us ( other than commodities such as oil) when prices have ever returned to pre inflationary period lows.

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Mar 10, 2024 11:45:48   #
FrumCA
 
McKinneyMike wrote:
Look at corporate profits soaring by 53% since the start of the p******c. Any thoughts on how these profits got so high? Price increases over and above what was required to maintain operations resulting in this windfall.

Blame Biden all you want, but the cost of goods to consumers have been artificially inflated to produce this astronomical spike in profits and is reflected in the inflation numbers!


Some lawmakers will tell you that high corporate profits drive inflation. On the other hand, economists tell you that it's inflation that boosts company profits. I trust the economist's viewpoint over lawmakers. During the C****-** p******c, supply chain disruptions and later Russia’s war in Ukraine led to rising prices. Simultaneously, wages did not increase as rapidly. For companies, higher prices combined with steady labor costs resulted in increased profits.
Buoyed by the government p******c stimulus payments, Americans could afford the higher prices, reducing the incentive for companies to lower them. This info is a little dated, but the concept hasn't changed. https://www.npr.org/2022/02/13/1080494838/economist-explains-record-corporate-profits-despite-rising-inflation

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Mar 10, 2024 11:46:12   #
McKinneyMike Loc: Texas
 
T***h Seeker wrote:
All I could think of was how many times he s**t and pissed his pants in the duration of the speech.


You would need to see Dystopian Donald with regards to bowel issues..... He seems to crap himself far more than most it seems from photos.


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Mar 10, 2024 11:47:29   #
wilpharm Loc: Oklahoma
 
Triple G wrote:
I don't sugar coat anything as you well know. I'd be telling the young kids that there is a light and hope (I'd tell seniors the same thing) and show them facts & reality (see my new topic about the decreasing misery index) so that they're not buffeted around by all the negative Nelly sky is falling types. If I'm bragging on anyone, it's the Fed and Biden's administration. I h**e to think what morons/t*****rs like Meadows, Kushner, Trump, Clark, et al a Trump administration would have.

Why are you such a biased partisan that you can't acknowledge and cheer on the progress from over 9% inflation to 3% in a better than predicted period of time plus a humming job market? Give the Fed credit for avoiding a recession.
I don't sugar coat anything as you well know. I'd... (show quote)


3% inflation...you have got to be kidding....believe what you wish

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Mar 10, 2024 11:49:09   #
FrumCA
 
Triple G wrote:
Your figures aren't current - my argument is that things are on a great recovery track and that's due to Biden admin. and the Fed. The comment Biden made in SOFU was correct as fact-checkec; he now needs to be sure Americans keep getting good wage increase reports; falling inflation numbers and sustainable jobs numbers.

https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/wage-growth

https://www.statista.com/statistics/1351276/wage-growth-vs-inflation-us/

https://www.bls.gov/web/empsit/ceshighlights.pdf

The only bad news in these posts is that it didn't happen quickly enough for some. Maybe if the Fed had been more or less aggressive, we'd be in a recession now. I'm happy we're not despite the gloom and doom of MAGA abd I give credit where credit is due.
Your figures aren't current - my argument is that ... (show quote)


The figures are current as of Feb 2024.

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Mar 10, 2024 11:50:39   #
DennyT Loc: Central Missouri woods
 
Triple G wrote:
Effate confirmed as much with stating how well Dave's bread is doing. Consumer demand is keeping inflation up even with premium brands. They are okay with their 55% increase in net income. They're not making the connection to why prices aren't coming down as fast as they went up (they never do). We can champion capitalism (I sure do), but we have to acknowledge it's greed element.

Consumer preferences and behaviors seem very inelastic. Higher prices usually mean less demand for premium goods, but that's not happening to the degree anticipated.

If you're a dividend stock investor, check out FLowers Foods. It's on a tear and will be a buy if the stock splits.

I'm searching for the overall General Mills employee pay increase for this time period. Anyone know?
Effate confirmed as much with stating how well Dav... (show quote)


Actual data

https://www.macrotrends.net/stocks/charts/GIS/general-mills/profit-margins


https://www.google.com/search?q=general+mills+net+profit+margin&client=safari&sca_esv=1895c9f6073d5159&sca_upv=1&channel=iphone_bm&sxsrf=ACQVn08u1tG49GMCXYJJOJbSFYRzDxfD8g%3A1710085616571&source=hp&ei=8NXtZdbIH6yYptQPmdKO2A8&oq=genersl+mills+net+profi&gs_lp=EhFtb2JpbGUtZ3dzLXdpei1ocCIXZ2VuZXJzbCBtaWxscyBuZXQgcHJvZmkqAggBMgcQABiABBgNMgYQABgWGB4yBxAhGAoYoAEyBxAhGAoYoAEyCxAAGIAEGIoFGIYDMgsQABiABBiKBRiGAzILEAAYgAQYigUYhgMyCxAAGIAEGIoFGIYDSPXXAVCACFj8VnABeACQAQOYAYxxoAGyrwOqAQM5LTS4AQHIAQD4AQGYAgKgAsFnqAIQwgIGELMBGIUEwgIQEAAYAxiPARjlAhjqAhiMA5gDGuIDBBgBIGiSBwUxLjktMaAH-x0&sclient=mobile-gws-wiz-hp

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Mar 10, 2024 12:31:08   #
Triple G
 
FrumCA wrote:
Some lawmakers will tell you that high corporate profits drive inflation. On the other hand, economists tell you that it's inflation that boosts company profits. I trust the economist's viewpoint over lawmakers. During the C****-** p******c, supply chain disruptions and later Russia’s war in Ukraine led to rising prices. Simultaneously, wages did not increase as rapidly. For companies, higher prices combined with steady labor costs resulted in increased profits.
Buoyed by the government p******c stimulus payments, Americans could afford the higher prices, reducing the incentive for companies to lower them. This info is a little dated, but the concept hasn't changed. https://www.npr.org/2022/02/13/1080494838/economist-explains-record-corporate-profits-despite-rising-inflation
Some lawmakers will tell you that high corporate p... (show quote)



I don't believe it's an either or proposition. They feed each other in a circular fashion. The tax relief during trump years has changed the impact of profits on inflation.

https://www.npr.org/2023/05/19/1177180972/economists-are-reconsidering-how-much-corporate-profits-drive-inflation

However, I agree with the different variables involved in inflation calculations. There is a lag in wage to inflation catch up and raising wages too quickly can be inflationary by itself, but companies have put shareholders and top management over employees since they got their tax cuts. I believe they've gotten too greedy and should be lowering prices and increasing wages. But, there's no good way to calculate the point where the "greed" line has been crossed.

If you were to ask the average American during C***d if they would still want stimulus and child tax breaks to make ends meet even though it may increase inflation, what do you think the answer would be? I don't think anyone correctly predicted the chaos that supply chain disruptions would have. But, the US is at the mercy of global commodities and other goods markets and I don't be see USA being able to 100% mitigate that.

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Mar 10, 2024 12:35:09   #
Truth Seeker Loc: High Mountains of the Western US
 
wilpharm wrote:
3% inflation...you have got to be kidding....believe what you wish


They don't tell you it is 3% on top of what was already a record hike in inflation.

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Mar 10, 2024 12:36:21   #
Triple G
 
wilpharm wrote:
3% inflation...you have got to be kidding....believe what you wish


Let's see what the calculation is in a couple of days

https://www.usinflationcalculator.com/inflation/current-inflation-rates/

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Mar 10, 2024 14:12:03   #
FrumCA
 
Triple G wrote:
Let's see what the calculation is in a couple of days

https://www.usinflationcalculator.com/inflation/current-inflation-rates/


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Mar 10, 2024 14:20:46   #
FrumCA
 
Triple G wrote:
I don't believe it's an either or proposition. They feed each other in a circular fashion. The tax relief during trump years has changed the impact of profits on inflation.

https://www.npr.org/2023/05/19/1177180972/economists-are-reconsidering-how-much-corporate-profits-drive-inflation

However, I agree with the different variables involved in inflation calculations. There is a lag in wage to inflation catch up and raising wages too quickly can be inflationary by itself, but companies have put shareholders and top management over employees since they got their tax cuts. I believe they've gotten too greedy and should be lowering prices and increasing wages. But, there's no good way to calculate the point where the "greed" line has been crossed.

If you were to ask the average American during C***d if they would still want stimulus and child tax breaks to make ends meet even though it may increase inflation, what do you think the answer would be? I don't think anyone correctly predicted the chaos that supply chain disruptions would have. But, the US is at the mercy of global commodities and other goods markets and I don't be see USA being able to 100% mitigate that.
I don't believe it's an either or proposition. Th... (show quote)

Interesting article. Thanks. I'm probably oversimplying the scenario but the message seems to be as wages go up, costs go up. Demands for wage increases such as the $20 per hour for unsk**led labor in some sectors (i.e., fast food/retai) caused many of those businesses to either close or cut employees in order to stay profitable. Factoring in your stimulus scenario I'm not sure what the folks receiving the stimulus would do. I don't know how they think. I do know many of them left the workforce because the stimulus paid more. And, predictably, when they needed to go back to work, the businesses were no longer there.

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Mar 10, 2024 14:32:20   #
DennyT Loc: Central Missouri woods
 
FrumCA wrote:
Interesting article. Thanks. I'm probably oversimplying the scenario but the message seems to be as wages go up, costs go up. Demands for wage increases such as the $20 per hour for unsk**led labor in some sectors (i.e., fast food) has caused many of those businesses to either close or cut employees on order to stay profitable.


Labor accounts for 30% of operating cost So figure it out how many steps are in a product before it reaches the shelve at 30% operating cost. And then cheer on minimum wages

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Mar 10, 2024 14:41:28   #
Triple G
 
FrumCA wrote:
Interesting article. Thanks. I'm probably oversimplying the scenario but the message seems to be as wages go up, costs go up. Demands for wage increases such as the $20 per hour for unsk**led labor in some sectors (i.e., fast food) has caused many of those businesses to either close or cut employees on order to stay profitable.


It's a micro vs macro scenario. Fast food places here are chasing a finite set of workers who move down the street for better pay. For each turnover, the employer loses 3-6 months productivity. They're at $16/hr now and still going up. They go out of business if they don't have help, but lose profits when they pay to keep workers. That will settle down in time as employers learn that treating employees as value added rather than t***sitory t***sactional costs. Getting additional workforce for those jobs would be helpful too.

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Mar 10, 2024 15:06:53   #
DennyT Loc: Central Missouri woods
 
Triple G wrote:
It's a micro vs macro scenario. Fast food places here are chasing a finite set of workers who move down the street for better pay. For each turnover, the employer loses 3-6 months productivity. They're at $16/hr now and still going up. They go out of business if they don't have help, but lose profits when they pay to keep workers. That will settle down in time as employers learn that treating employees as value added rather than t***sitory t***sactional costs. Getting additional workforce for those jobs would be helpful too.
It's a micro vs macro scenario. Fast food places ... (show quote)


Macdonald labor burden is around 20% . Do the math on a dollar menu item

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Mar 10, 2024 15:13:30   #
Triple G
 
DennyT wrote:
Macdonald labor burden is around 20% . Do the math on a dollar menu item


If Portillos can do it, so can others. Sounds like some are already pricing in the possible increase in minimum wage.

https://www.restaurantdive.com/news/california-20-dollar-fast-food-wage-poses-risk-and-reward-restaurant-execs-icr/705317/

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