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The True C****av***s Toll in the U.S. Has Already Surpassed 200,000
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Aug 13, 2020 11:13:18   #
RixPix Loc: Miami, Florida
 
Across the United States, at least 200,000 more people have died than usual since March, according to a New York Times analysis of estimates from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. This is about 60,000 higher than the number of deaths that have been directly linked to the c****av***s.

As the p******c has moved south and west from its epicenter in New York City, so have the unusual patterns in deaths from all causes. That suggests that the official death counts may be substantially underestimating the overall effects of the v***s, as people die from the v***s as well as by other causes linked to the p******c.

When the c****av***s first took hold in the United States in March, the bulk of deaths above normal levels, or “excess deaths,” were in the Northeast, as New York and New Jersey saw huge surges.

The Northeast still makes up nearly half of all excess deaths in the country, though numbers in the region have drastically declined since the peak in April.

Counting deaths takes time and many states are weeks or months behind in reporting. The estimates from the C.D.C. are adjusted based on how mortality data has lagged in previous years. Even with this adjustment, it’s possible there could be an underestimate of the complete death toll if increased mortality is causing states to lag more than they have in the past or if states have changed their reporting systems.

But comparing recent totals of deaths from all causes can provide a more complete picture of the p******c’s impact than tracking only deaths of people with confirmed diagnoses.

Weekly deaths above normal in each state

The charts below show how much higher than usual weekly deaths have been in each state. States with the most recent peaks — the week when they saw the most excess deaths during the p******c — appear first. For each state, weeks in which data may be incomplete are excluded.

But as the number of hot spots expanded, so has the number of excess deaths across other parts of the country. Many of the recent c****av***s cases and deaths in the South and the West may have been driven largely by reopenings and relaxed social distancing restrictions.

Nine of the 13 states in the South started seeing excess deaths surge in July, months into the p******c. A spike in cases in places like Texas put pressure on hospitals, echoing the chaos that ensued in New York months earlier. South Carolina, among the first states to reopen retail stores, saw deaths reach 1.6 times normal levels in mid-July.

Unlike other states in this region, Louisiana saw its excess deaths peak in April — when total deaths reached 1.7 times normal levels. Medical experts said Mardi Gras gatherings most likely contributed to this spike.

In July, c****av***s deaths in Arizona surged, though new daily cases have since decreased. In California, the first state to issue a stay-at-home order this spring, c****av***s deaths climbed up in July, after a reopening that some health officials warned was too fast.

In the Midwest, some states like Michigan and Illinois saw their peaks in April. Detroit was particularly hard hit by the v***s.

New York City in the first few months of the p******c was the epicenter of the c****av***s outbreak, and it was plagued by staggering death totals, which peaked at more than seven times normal levels. Other areas of the Northeast, including New Jersey, Massachusetts and Connecticut also saw early surges. Over all, rates have decreased significantly since then in much of the region.

Methodology

Total death numbers are estimates from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, which are based on death certificates counted by the C.D.C. and adjusted to account for typical lags in the reporting of deaths.

Only weeks in which the C.D.C. estimates the data to be at least 90 percent complete or estimated deaths were above expected death numbers are included. Weeks in which reported deaths were less than 50 percent of the C.D.C. estimate are not included. Because states vary somewhat in their speed in reporting deaths to the federal government, state charts may have data for different time periods.

Expected deaths were calculated with a simple model based on the weekly number of all-cause deaths from 2017 to 2019 released by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, adjusted to account for trends, like population changes, over time.

Additional reporting by Josh Katz and Margot Sanger-Katz.











Reply
Aug 13, 2020 11:30:03   #
John_F Loc: Minneapolis, MN
 
Its useful to know that Johns Hopkins Medical College has been systematically compiling c***d data from the very beginning. CDC has been hampered by Trump but not fully.

Reply
Aug 13, 2020 11:58:26   #
Fotoartist Loc: Detroit, Michigan
 
We don't need Johns Hopkins to tell us the increased deaths are evidence of the harm caused by the lockdown.

Reply
 
 
Aug 13, 2020 12:11:24   #
Kmgw9v Loc: Miami, Florida
 
Fotoartist wrote:
We don't need Johns Hopkins to tell us the increased deaths are evidence of the harm caused by the lockdown.


Yeah, that lockdown sure k**led a bunch of people.

Reply
Aug 13, 2020 13:16:23   #
DaveO Loc: Northeast CT
 
Not a big deal to the trumpettes who point out that it's such a small percentage of the population and no worse than the flu. The geniuses can't figure that as the base expands exponentially we are in trouble if we don't clean up our act.

Reply
Aug 13, 2020 15:44:41   #
RixPix Loc: Miami, Florida
 
Fotoartist wrote:
We don't need Johns Hopkins to tell us the increased deaths are evidence of the harm caused by the lockdown.


Oh, so that is the reason the bodies are stacked to the ceiling in morgues across the country...Trump's lockdown...interesting.

Reply
Aug 13, 2020 15:58:30   #
Texcaster Loc: Queensland
 
Fotoartist wrote:
We don't need Johns Hopkins to tell us the increased deaths are evidence of the harm caused by the lockdown.


The 38% dream team never disappoints Donnie the V***s.

All subtleties are now being thrown overboard as Biggie sees the end looming

Donald J. Trump
@realDonaldTrump
The “suburban housewife” will be v****g for me. They want safety & are thrilled that I ended the long running program where low income housing would invade their neighborhood. Biden would reinstall it, in a bigger form, with Corey Booker in charge! @foxandfriends @MariaBartiromo
9:59 PM · Aug 12, 2020
120.5K
106.5K people are Tweeting about this

Reply
 
 
Aug 13, 2020 16:13:04   #
Shutterbug1697 Loc: Northeast
 
Fotoartist wrote:
We don't need Johns Hopkins to tell us the increased deaths are evidence of the harm caused by the lockdown.

The increase in deaths is because there wasn't a National Response to the C****-** V***s P******c.

Without Social Distancing and face masks being worn by everyone, the V***s spread can't be slowed down.

How much longer are you going to drink in the Orange Kool-aid Propaganda from the trump administration?

You've really been taken for a carnival ride by trump and his administration, but then again, trump's a con artist, so it's to be expected that you fell for his shtick hook, line, and sinker!

Reply
Aug 13, 2020 16:31:53   #
yhtomit Loc: Port Land. Oregon
 
RixPix wrote:
Across the United States, at least 200,000 more people have died than usual since March, according to a New York Times analysis of estimates from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. This is about 60,000 higher than the number of deaths that have been directly linked to the c****av***s.

As the p******c has moved south and west from its epicenter in New York City, so have the unusual patterns in deaths from all causes. That suggests that the official death counts may be substantially underestimating the overall effects of the v***s, as people die from the v***s as well as by other causes linked to the p******c.

When the c****av***s first took hold in the United States in March, the bulk of deaths above normal levels, or “excess deaths,” were in the Northeast, as New York and New Jersey saw huge surges.

The Northeast still makes up nearly half of all excess deaths in the country, though numbers in the region have drastically declined since the peak in April.

Counting deaths takes time and many states are weeks or months behind in reporting. The estimates from the C.D.C. are adjusted based on how mortality data has lagged in previous years. Even with this adjustment, it’s possible there could be an underestimate of the complete death toll if increased mortality is causing states to lag more than they have in the past or if states have changed their reporting systems.

But comparing recent totals of deaths from all causes can provide a more complete picture of the p******c’s impact than tracking only deaths of people with confirmed diagnoses.

Weekly deaths above normal in each state

The charts below show how much higher than usual weekly deaths have been in each state. States with the most recent peaks — the week when they saw the most excess deaths during the p******c — appear first. For each state, weeks in which data may be incomplete are excluded.

But as the number of hot spots expanded, so has the number of excess deaths across other parts of the country. Many of the recent c****av***s cases and deaths in the South and the West may have been driven largely by reopenings and relaxed social distancing restrictions.

Nine of the 13 states in the South started seeing excess deaths surge in July, months into the p******c. A spike in cases in places like Texas put pressure on hospitals, echoing the chaos that ensued in New York months earlier. South Carolina, among the first states to reopen retail stores, saw deaths reach 1.6 times normal levels in mid-July.

Unlike other states in this region, Louisiana saw its excess deaths peak in April — when total deaths reached 1.7 times normal levels. Medical experts said Mardi Gras gatherings most likely contributed to this spike.

In July, c****av***s deaths in Arizona surged, though new daily cases have since decreased. In California, the first state to issue a stay-at-home order this spring, c****av***s deaths climbed up in July, after a reopening that some health officials warned was too fast.

In the Midwest, some states like Michigan and Illinois saw their peaks in April. Detroit was particularly hard hit by the v***s.

New York City in the first few months of the p******c was the epicenter of the c****av***s outbreak, and it was plagued by staggering death totals, which peaked at more than seven times normal levels. Other areas of the Northeast, including New Jersey, Massachusetts and Connecticut also saw early surges. Over all, rates have decreased significantly since then in much of the region.

Methodology

Total death numbers are estimates from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, which are based on death certificates counted by the C.D.C. and adjusted to account for typical lags in the reporting of deaths.

Only weeks in which the C.D.C. estimates the data to be at least 90 percent complete or estimated deaths were above expected death numbers are included. Weeks in which reported deaths were less than 50 percent of the C.D.C. estimate are not included. Because states vary somewhat in their speed in reporting deaths to the federal government, state charts may have data for different time periods.

Expected deaths were calculated with a simple model based on the weekly number of all-cause deaths from 2017 to 2019 released by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, adjusted to account for trends, like population changes, over time.

Additional reporting by Josh Katz and Margot Sanger-Katz.
Across the United States, at least 200,000 more pe... (show quote)


You could die for a multitude of reasons, but if your eviscerated, decapitated and mashed beyond recognition in a motor cycle accident, and had the w***n flu in your system, the cause death would be recorded as the w***n flu. You are posting political science here, not science.

Reply
Aug 13, 2020 16:41:28   #
Rose42
 
John_F wrote:
Its useful to know that Johns Hopkins Medical College has been systematically compiling c***d data from the very beginning. CDC has been hampered by Trump but not fully.


LOL!!!

I’d like to see the c***d death breakdown by car accidents, cancer, heart disease and murder. Lol

T

Reply
Aug 13, 2020 16:53:26   #
DaveO Loc: Northeast CT
 
Rose42 wrote:
LOL!!!

I’d like to see the c***d death breakdown by car accidents, cancer, heart disease and murder. Lol

T


What next! Brought to you by the geniuses of the Hogg!

Politics make some folks positively stupid! Hopefully that is the only reason!

Reply
 
 
Aug 13, 2020 16:55:36   #
Rose42
 
DaveO wrote:
What next! Brought to you by the geniuses of the Hogg!

Politics make some folks positively stupid! Hopefully that is the only reason!


Did I miss one?

Reply
Aug 13, 2020 17:39:54   #
DaveO Loc: Northeast CT
 
Rose42 wrote:
Did I miss one?


Got to laugh as the beat goes on! And on and on and on and on...

Reply
Aug 13, 2020 17:53:09   #
Rose42
 
DaveO wrote:
Got to laugh as the beat goes on! And on and on and on and on...



Reply
Aug 14, 2020 02:06:30   #
thom w Loc: San Jose, CA
 
yhtomit wrote:
You could die for a multitude of reasons, but if your eviscerated, decapitated and mashed beyond recognition in a motor cycle accident, and had the w***n flu in your system, the cause death would be recorded as the w***n flu. You are posting political science here, not science.


Evidence please

Reply
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