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Good news. Economy grew by 3.2% in 1st quarter.
Apr 26, 2019 14:00:32   #
SteveR Loc: Michigan
 
Disposable growth grew by 3%.

https://www.nbcnews.com/business/economy/economy-grew-3-2-percent-first-quarter-best-growth-four-n998876

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Apr 26, 2019 16:14:09   #
Black Elk Peak
 
Yup.....and my IRA is loving it.

Vaughan K.

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Apr 26, 2019 17:39:47   #
IDguy Loc: Idaho
 
While I doubt the reporting it isn’t surprising that shutting down the federal government helped the economy.

3.2%/quarter = 12.8% per year. That would break all historical records. My guess is that it grew at a 3.2% annual rate and that the the reporter doesn’t know the difference.

Edit: yep, https://www.bea.gov/news/2019/gross-domestic-product-1st-quarter-2019-advance-estimate

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Apr 26, 2019 17:45:22   #
IDguy Loc: Idaho
 
IDguy wrote:
While I doubt the reporting it isn’t surprising that shutting down the federal government helped the economy.

3.2%/quarter = 12.8% per year. That would break all historical records. My guess is that it grew at a 3.2% annual rate and that the the reporter doesn’t know the difference. Usual fake news.

Edit: yep, https://www.bea.gov/news/2019/gross-domestic-product-1st-quarter-2019-advance-estimate

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Apr 26, 2019 18:53:58   #
SteveR Loc: Michigan
 
IDguy wrote:
While I doubt the reporting it isn’t surprising that shutting down the federal government helped the economy.

3.2%/quarter = 12.8% per year. That would break all historical records. My guess is that it grew at a 3.2% annual rate and that the the reporter doesn’t know the difference.

Edit: yep, https://www.bea.gov/news/2019/gross-domestic-product-1st-quarter-2019-advance-estimate


I think you're reading it incorrectly. If I'm not mistaken, if 3.2% growth for the quarter is maintained it would mean 3.2% growth for the year. It's an annualized type of statistic. The type of increases that you're thinking about would lead to inflation and corresponding increases in the interest rates.

Notice, too, that this is an NBCNews.com article.

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Apr 27, 2019 08:35:09   #
IDguy Loc: Idaho
 
SteveR wrote:
I think you're reading it incorrectly. If I'm not mistaken, if 3.2% growth for the quarter is maintained it would mean 3.2% growth for the year. It's an annualized type of statistic. The type of increases that you're thinking about would lead to inflation and corresponding increases in the interest rates.

Notice, too, that this is an NBCNews.com article.


That is my point! The author clearly states the economy grew 3.2% for the quarter. It did not. It grew by 1/4 of that.

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Apr 27, 2019 13:44:01   #
SteveR Loc: Michigan
 
This article better explains what was meant by the 3.2% growth. It was 3.2% growth in g.d.p. Only 2.5% was expected.

https://www.cnbc.com/2019/04/26/gdp-q1-2019-first-read.html

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Apr 28, 2019 09:33:05   #
IDguy Loc: Idaho
 
SteveR wrote:
This article better explains what was meant by the 3.2% growth. It was 3.2% growth in g.d.p. Only 2.5% was expected.

https://www.cnbc.com/2019/04/26/gdp-q1-2019-first-read.html


No, it was 1/4 of that.

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Apr 28, 2019 10:52:31   #
SteveR Loc: Michigan
 
IDguy wrote:
No, it was 1/4 of that.


The WSJ defines it most clearly...."Gross Domestic Product- the value of all goods and services produced in the U.S., adjusted for inflation and seasonality- rose at a 3.2% annual rate from January through March."

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Apr 28, 2019 19:23:07   #
IDguy Loc: Idaho
 
SteveR wrote:
The WSJ defines it most clearly...."Gross Domestic Product- the value of all goods and services produced in the U.S., adjusted for inflation and seasonality- rose at a 3.2% annual rate from January through March."


Yes, that is the correct way to state it.

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Apr 29, 2019 17:38:15   #
SteveR Loc: Michigan
 
IDguy wrote:
Yes, that is the correct way to state it.


I like those well-written news reports that are concisely written and really define things.

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