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Dec 30, 2018 12:30:50   #
SteveR Loc: Michigan
 
TriX wrote:
At the risk of demeaning honest brokers and advisers, let me just add that you want an adviser that has no financial interest in the stocks/bonds/mutual funds that you choose to buy or sell - the brokers I’ve encountered are primarily interested in maximizing their profit, which is not surprising. The other truism is that many/most individual investors get into the market too late in a rally. By the time they realize the market is on a tear, the money has been made, and then they panic when it tanks and sell, so they have it exactly backwards - they buy on the way up and sell on the way down.
My broker gave me incredibly poor and self-serving advice during the tech run-up and the ensuing crash, costing me a fortune and ending in the ER with a heart attack. Advice from words from someone who has been there and done that. Get a certified neutral advisor with YOUR interests at heart if you invest.
At the risk of demeaning honest brokers and advise... (show quote)


I have had a CFP but switched to a company that invests in index funds. My CFP's advice prior to the recession of 2008-9 was to ride things out and that things would come back up again. When the market DID rebound, our funds did not rebound equally. There's something about when the market goes down and comes back up 100%, your portfolio doesn't come back to its former level. I don't think I can explain it like my CFP did, but we'd gotten out and then gotten back in we could actually have made money. The other sales pitch that these guys do is to show you how much the DOW has gone up since 1901 and how it's always going up, and, well....you just can't lose, right? Then they tell you to diversify, so while one market is up another is down and whatever gains might be made are mitigated. The average Joe Blow doesn't have a chance. However, anybody in the market in the 90's did very well, but we won't see that again.

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Dec 30, 2018 13:37:41   #
Fotoartist Loc: Detroit, Michigan
 
Curious that they didn't give Trump credit when the market went up after the election but they are willing to assign it to him now that it has gone down.

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Dec 30, 2018 20:56:05   #
SteveR Loc: Michigan
 
Fotoartist wrote:
Curious that they didn't give Trump credit when the market went up after the election but they are willing to assign it to him now that it has gone down.


Much of what we've seen is a market correction, although tariffs and increases by the Fed have had their affects. Political volatility also has an affect on the markets. With some positive signs such as the record retail period that we've just seen, don't despair too quickly. Every roller coaster has dips.

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Dec 30, 2018 22:02:33   #
Glenn Harve
 
Fotoartist wrote:
Curious that they didn't give Trump credit when the market went up after the election but they are willing to assign it to him now that it has gone down.


Its even worse. They are trying to bring the economy down now so they can bring him down. The fed is part of it. They have tried everything else and failed. Trump has exposed something unbeleivably evil in our politcal system. Its there for all who care to open their eyes to it. We Americans are expendable pawns in this twisted deep state game.

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Dec 31, 2018 00:13:59   #
SteveR Loc: Michigan
 
Glenn Harve wrote:
Its even worse. They are trying to bring the economy down now so they can bring him down. The fed is part of it. They have tried everything else and failed. Trump has exposed something unbeleivably evil in our politcal system. Its there for all who care to open their eyes to it. We Americans are expendable pawns in this twisted deep state game.


It was nice while it lasted. And while it did, companies loaded up on debt, for one thing. The only reason for low interest rates was to encourage the extension of credit and prop up a damaged economy. That reason has past. The raising of rates is just another sign of a healthy economy.

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Dec 31, 2018 00:19:20   #
Howard5252 Loc: New York / Florida (now)
 
traderjohn wrote:
Short time Capital Gains would have killed you.

True, and he would have had the money to pay it.
My father used to say that his biggest problem should be paying the taxes on his profits.

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Dec 31, 2018 00:21:57   #
TriX Loc: Raleigh, NC
 
Glenn Harve wrote:
Its even worse. They are trying to bring the economy down now so they can bring him down. The fed is part of it. They have tried everything else and failed. Trump has exposed something unbeleivably evil in our politcal system. Its there for all who care to open their eyes to it. We Americans are expendable pawns in this twisted deep state game.


Alternate facts (and reality).

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Dec 31, 2018 06:46:23   #
Howard5252 Loc: New York / Florida (now)
 
Glenn Harve wrote:
The deep state (working through the fed and liberal media) will do anything to devalue the success of this ecomony. Anything. The interests of normal Americans are easily sacrificed.

You don't suppose the market's wild swings and huge downturn could be a reaction to the president's actions regarding removing ourselves from long formed treaties and alliances, siding with Putin about the US being hacked ("He said he didn't do it.") even though our intelligence agencies say otherwise. Or perhaps it is because the president did not go to two SEATO meetings to represent the US trade and treaty interests. BTW China and Russia were there and were more than happy to step up to replace the US trade agreements. It couldn't be that it is because the president takes no advice from his own advisers ... because he knows more about each subject than they do. No it could not possibly be any of that. It's the TV media, it's the print media, it's the radio media, it's liberals, it's the FBI, the CIA, the DOJ, it's his own generals, it's the democrats, it's our allies, and in a few weeks it will be The House of Representatives fault ... it could not possibly be the consequences of the president's statements and actions. A simple explanation for an extremely complex world; it could not possibly be that actions have consequences.
BTW some time in the not too distant future the president will point out that Japan and Korea have signed trade agreements with China which will of course have some negative effect on our economy. The president will then blame Japan, Korea and China ... he will never mention those two trade meetings he didn't attend.
Of course, everything I wrote could be wrong; it might just be "The deep state (working through the fed and liberal media) will do anything to devalue the success of this ecomony. Anything. The interests of normal Americans are easily sacrificed." Yah, that's probably it.

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Dec 31, 2018 09:58:30   #
Glenn Harve
 
Howard5252 wrote:
You don't suppose the market's wild swings and huge downturn could be a reaction to the president's actions regarding removing ourselves from long formed treaties and alliances, siding with Putin about the US being hacked ("He said he didn't do it.") even though our intelligence agencies say otherwise. Or perhaps it is because the president did not go to two SEATO meetings to represent the US trade and treaty interests. BTW China and Russia were there and were more than happy to step up to replace the US trade agreements. It couldn't be that it is because the president takes no advice from his own advisers ... because he knows more about each subject than they do. No it could not possibly be any of that. It's the TV media, it's the print media, it's the radio media, it's liberals, it's the FBI, the CIA, the DOJ, it's his own generals, it's the democrats, it's our allies, and in a few weeks it will be The House of Representatives fault ... it could not possibly be the consequences of the president's statements and actions. A simple explanation for an extremely complex world; it could not possibly be that actions have consequences.
BTW some time in the not too distant future the president will point out that Japan and Korea have signed trade agreements with China which will of course have some negative effect on our economy. The president will then blame Japan, Korea and China ... he will never mention those two trade meetings he didn't attend.
Of course, everything I wrote could be wrong; it might just be "The deep state (working through the fed and liberal media) will do anything to devalue the success of this ecomony. Anything. The interests of normal Americans are easily sacrificed." Yah, that's probably it.
You don't suppose the market's wild swings and hug... (show quote)


The market repeatedly absorbed all you state, if you paid attention to the timelines. The kicker was the fed. Watch the timelines, open you eyes. Or not.....

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Dec 31, 2018 12:04:35   #
Fotoartist Loc: Detroit, Michigan
 
Very interestingly crafted comment. You got me thinking and questioning my premises. But you didn't get me over to your side because too many of Trump's actions have been raising America up so far. All dyer predictions about him have not come true. What is true is that the dems and the press (not the Fed) will do anything to devalue the success of this PRESIDENT even if that takes tanking the economy.
Howard5252 wrote:
You don't suppose the market's wild swings and huge downturn could be a reaction to the president's actions regarding removing ourselves from long formed treaties and alliances, siding with Putin about the US being hacked ("He said he didn't do it.") even though our intelligence agencies say otherwise. Or perhaps it is because the president did not go to two SEATO meetings to represent the US trade and treaty interests. BTW China and Russia were there and were more than happy to step up to replace the US trade agreements. It couldn't be that it is because the president takes no advice from his own advisers ... because he knows more about each subject than they do. No it could not possibly be any of that. It's the TV media, it's the print media, it's the radio media, it's liberals, it's the FBI, the CIA, the DOJ, it's his own generals, it's the democrats, it's our allies, and in a few weeks it will be The House of Representatives fault ... it could not possibly be the consequences of the president's statements and actions. A simple explanation for an extremely complex world; it could not possibly be that actions have consequences.
BTW some time in the not too distant future the president will point out that Japan and Korea have signed trade agreements with China which will of course have some negative effect on our economy. The president will then blame Japan, Korea and China ... he will never mention those two trade meetings he didn't attend.
Of course, everything I wrote could be wrong; it might just be "The deep state (working through the fed and liberal media) will do anything to devalue the success of this ecomony. Anything. The interests of normal Americans are easily sacrificed." Yah, that's probably it.
You don't suppose the market's wild swings and hug... (show quote)

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Dec 31, 2018 12:53:21   #
Howard5252 Loc: New York / Florida (now)
 
Fotoartist wrote:
Very interestingly crafted comment. You got me thinking and questioning my premises. But you didn't get me over to your side because too many of Trump's actions have been raising America up so far. All dyer predictions about him have not come true. What is true is that the dems and the press (not the Fed) will do anything to devalue the success of this PRESIDENT even if that takes tanking the economy.


I tried to prove a point and used examples of things that have occurred or that the president said; I didn't just write "You're wrong" or "That's not true"
Please don't answer me with "What is true is that the dems and the press (not the Fed) will do anything to devalue the success of this PRESIDENT even if that takes tanking the economy." That's a very damning statement; tell me what it is that causes you to believe that your statement is true. BTW the recent crime bill is to the president's and congress's credit. I'll admit there are a few things that the president got right And by the way that news was reported by "The Press".

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Dec 31, 2018 12:58:45   #
Glenn Harve
 
Howard5252 wrote:
I tried to prove a point and used examples of things that have occurred or that the president said; I didn't just write "You're wrong" or "That's not true"
Please don't answer me with "What is true is that the dems and the press (not the Fed) will do anything to devalue the success of this PRESIDENT even if that takes tanking the economy." That's a very damning statement; tell me what it is that causes you to believe that your statement is true. BTW the recent crime bill is to the president's and congress's credit. I'll admit there are a few things that the president got right And by the way that news was reported by "The Media".
I tried to prove a point and used examples of thin... (show quote)


If you see it by now you never will.

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Dec 31, 2018 13:24:01   #
Howard5252 Loc: New York / Florida (now)
 
Glenn Harve wrote:
If you see it by now you never will.

You obviously see things that I don't. All I am asking is that you point them out to me.
If I make a statement that the president has lied would you not ask me to show examples?
This country is divided, nobody denies that. Here is an opportunity to have a civil discussion about some of the things that are causing this divide.

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Dec 31, 2018 15:04:37   #
Glenn Harve
 
Howard5252 wrote:
You obviously see things that I don't. All I am asking is that you point them out to me.
If I make a statement that the president has lied would you not ask me to show examples?
This country is divided, nobody denies that. Here is an opportunity to have a civil discussion about some of the things that are causing this divide.


Just watch the cable news channels, ALL of them. You must learn this stark difference and sheer hatred on the left for yourself..
As far as the stock market goes, look at a 20 year chart of the Dow and be honest about why it soared after Trump was elected. Figure out who actually held "the magic wand". Then compare where it stiil is relative to before.
Over and out...

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Dec 31, 2018 17:19:54   #
Howard5252 Loc: New York / Florida (now)
 
Glenn Harve wrote:
Just watch the cable news channels, ALL of them. You must learn this stark difference and sheer hatred on the left for yourself..
As far as the stock market goes, look at a 20 year chart of the Dow and be honest about why it soared after Trump was elected. Figure out who actually held "the magic wand". Then compare where it stiil is relative to before.
Over and out...

Now you want me to look at a 20 year chart? ... You've obviously figured out a lot but seem unable to be specific. Too bad.

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