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Advanced DSLRs on the Way Out?
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Mar 3, 2016 07:14:35   #
jerryc41 Loc: Catskill Mts of NY
 
I read an article last night suggesting that advanced DSLRs. like the Nikon D5 and Canon EOS-1DX II could have reached the end of they development. Jason Row, writing in Light Stalking, said that the DSLR is reaching the end of its development, while the mirrorless has a long way to go.

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Mar 3, 2016 07:19:43   #
ottopj Loc: Annapolis, MD USA
 
Probably true. There have been several developments in lenses recently that will lead to much better images in much smaller and cheaper devices, i.e., cell phones.

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Mar 3, 2016 07:32:24   #
Hacksaw Loc: Pacific Northwest
 
That may be true but I don't believe it will happen suddenly. When it does happen, I'm certain that smartphones although very capable, won't be the replacement.

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Mar 3, 2016 07:40:13   #
Mac Loc: Pittsburgh, Philadelphia now Hernando Co. Fl.
 
jerryc41 wrote:
I read an article last night suggesting that advanced DSLRs. like the Nikon D5 and Canon EOS-1DX II could have reached the end of they development. Jason Row, writing in Light Stalking, said that the DSLR is reaching the end of its development, while the mirrorless has a long way to go.


That's very interesting, especially since I've started looking at mirrorless.

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Mar 3, 2016 07:41:27   #
LFingar Loc: Claverack, NY
 
Reminds me of the predictions 10-15 yrs ago that SUV's were going to go the way of the dinosaurs because of their fuel consumption. Now they are selling better then ever apparently. Jason Row may be correct, but I'm not going to worry about it. If advanced DSLR's, or even DSLR's in general fade out it will be because something better has replaced them. Most likely, the majority of us will be happy with whatever that is and a few of us will be able to post about the superiority of the older technology! Just like film vs digital is today.

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Mar 3, 2016 07:54:22   #
boberic Loc: Quiet Corner, Connecticut. Ex long Islander
 
jerryc41 wrote:
I read an article last night suggesting that advanced DSLRs. like the Nikon D5 and Canon EOS-1DX II could have reached the end of they development. Jason Row, writing in Light Stalking, said that the DSLR is reaching the end of its development, while the mirrorless has a long way to go.


There is no question that there will be changes. What the changes will be is anyones guess. Sensors will get better. A lot will depend upon the market, I dont believe that the cell phone will replace the DSLR for serious photographers, But it might replace the low end point and shoot camera. After all vinyl records are staging a serious comeback. If some one could accurately predict the future he would get very rich very soon. I am going to invest in flux capacitors

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Mar 3, 2016 08:02:08   #
Jim Bob
 
jerryc41 wrote:
I read an article last night suggesting that advanced DSLRs. like the Nikon D5 and Canon EOS-1DX II could have reached the end of they development. Jason Row, writing in Light Stalking, said that the DSLR is reaching the end of its development, while the mirrorless has a long way to go.


OK. Hope you enjoyed the article. Who really knows and those who might ain't telling.

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Mar 3, 2016 08:04:50   #
Ranjan Loc: Currently Cyber-Nation!
 
jerryc41 wrote:
I read an article last night suggesting that advanced DSLRs. like the Nikon D5 and Canon EOS-1DX II could have reached the end of they development. Jason Row, writing in Light Stalking, said that the DSLR is reaching the end of its development, while the mirrorless has a long way to go.


The marketplace reality?
They have had a good run and shall linger on as a 'had been' for a while.
We have seen it happen with 'film', with vinyl, etc, etc.

Also the higher end bridge cameras might get some closer attention from the manufacturers and consumers...!

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Mar 3, 2016 08:05:48   #
Zone-System-Grandpa Loc: Springfield, Ohio
 
jerryc41 wrote:
I read an article last night suggesting that advanced DSLRs. like the Nikon D5 and Canon EOS-1DX II could have reached the end of they development. Jason Row, writing in Light Stalking, said that the DSLR is reaching the end of its development, while the mirrorless has a long way to go.

+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

Good morning, Jerry...

Well, I will become 72 years of age this upcoming June and don't think that there will be enough years remaining for me to be concerned about my trusty Nikon dlsrs and my trusty old Canon EOS 5D MkII becoming extinct as did those scaly, toothy critters millions of years ago. :)

I understand that many people have adapted to cameras without mirrors and they really like them, however; for me, there is something about the weight, bulk, and the feel of a well made dslr with an OEM battery grip that cannot be replaced by today's new breed of mirror free cameras.

Keep up the great service that you provide for us all as I have always, totally enjoyed all of your postings !

~Doug~

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Mar 3, 2016 08:08:44   #
Preachdude Loc: Geneva, OH
 
jerryc41 wrote:
I read an article last night suggesting that advanced DSLRs. like the Nikon D5 and Canon EOS-1DX II could have reached the end of they development. Jason Row, writing in Light Stalking, said that the DSLR is reaching the end of its development, while the mirrorless has a long way to go.


This week a Sony executive named Yutaka said that DSLRs continue to have their place along side of mirrorless cameras and stated two logical reasons. "The first [reason] is that the A-mount has certain advantages over the E mount and, for now, we can not have all the same functionalities between A and E mount. The second reason is that we have many customers that we can not give up. It is a promise to our customers.“

In recent years, the Sony A-mount has been both for DSLR models and their translucent mirror models. It would seem logical that Sony's new A-mount camera to be announced soon will be larger and will embrace those advantages referred to by Yutaka -- mirror or not.

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Mar 3, 2016 08:27:51   #
jerryc41 Loc: Catskill Mts of NY
 
Zone-System-Grandpa wrote:
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

Good morning, Jerry...

Well, I will become 72 years of age this upcoming June

I have you beat by two months.

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Mar 3, 2016 08:28:14   #
jerryc41 Loc: Catskill Mts of NY
 
Here's the link to that article.

http://www.lightstalking.com/nikon-d5-last-kind/

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Mar 3, 2016 10:04:27   #
burkphoto Loc: High Point, NC
 
jerryc41 wrote:
I read an article last night suggesting that advanced DSLRs. like the Nikon D5 and Canon EOS-1DX II could have reached the end of they development. Jason Row, writing in Light Stalking, said that the DSLR is reaching the end of its development, while the mirrorless has a long way to go.


When consumer demand falls off enough, they'll pare their available selections down to a handful.

Remember what happened to film cameras? It didn't happen over night, but gradually, over more than a decade.

Cell phones and smart phones have killed off a large chunk of demand for dedicated cameras of all types. But there are still lots of cameras available. I think the dSLR will be around in some form for another decade or so.

The mirrorless design itself is a superior concept, but current technology has not yet surpassed dSLR responsiveness for certain applications. I think it will, eventually, and when that happens, camera manufacturers will switch.

Canon and Nikon, in particular, have a gazillion lenses in the wild, so that provides them with some sustainable dSLR momentum, as photographers replace outmoded or ailing bodies with new ones using the same lens mounts.

It's clear that those companies who can adapt older lenses to mirrorless bodies, while retaining their functionality and performance, will be successful. MetaBones seems to be best at this...

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Mar 3, 2016 10:14:16   #
TheDman Loc: USA
 
LFingar wrote:
Reminds me of the predictions 10-15 yrs ago that SUV's were going to go the way of the dinosaurs because of their fuel consumption. Now they are selling better then ever apparently. Jason Row may be correct, but I'm not going to worry about it. If advanced DSLR's, or even DSLR's in general fade out it will be because something better has replaced them. Most likely, the majority of us will be happy with whatever that is and a few of us will be able to post about the superiority of the older technology! Just like film vs digital is today.
Reminds me of the predictions 10-15 yrs ago that S... (show quote)


Exactly. In the end, it doesn't matter a bit. DSLR, mirrorless - they're both cameras, and the camera will continue to evolve. No matter what form it takes, there will always be a market for the best ones. Digital cameras are all about the sensor anyway, not the viewfinder system.

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Mar 3, 2016 11:13:40   #
MrBob Loc: lookout Mtn. NE Alabama
 
Hacksaw wrote:
That may be true but I don't believe it will happen suddenly. When it does happen, I'm certain that smartphones although very capable, won't be the replacement.


I think that something in the same form factor and size of a cell phone will be what the public opts for.... they are comfy with their phones and their easy to travel with size. Who knows what the future holds in this area; there are already clip on lenses etc... available for the phone. Yes, these are the EARLY stages, but in the EARLY stages of digital, folks swore they would never switch. Go figure.... how many folks on UHH shoot film ?

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