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Apr 8, 2023 19:35:24   #
bcheary Loc: Jacksonville, FL
 
DirtFarmer wrote:
Fossil fuels will be around for a while.

Hydrogen is certainly a contender for future energy but it takes energy to produce Hydrogen so I consider Hydrogen more of a storage medium. Solar is probably a good contender for producing Hydrogen as long as it can be done near a good water source. And of course if it's near a good water source there will be clouds. Hydrogen does have storage issues. Hydrogen embrittles steel and it has to be stored at high pressure so containers have to be made from something other than steel. You definitely don't want your high pressure fuel tank to be brittle for a moving vehicle. You can store Hydrogen at low temperature to get around the high pressure requirement but if I recall correctly the sea level pressure temperature of liquid Hydrogen is 23K. Kind of chilly. Liquid Nitrogen is 77K.

I suspect it will be greener to use Hydrogen in fuel cells to produce electricity to run your vehicle. Hydrogen certainly burns well, but it needs oxygen, and rather than have tanks of both Hydrogen and Oxygen in your vehicle, air will probably be used for an internal combustion engine. That means oxides of Nitrogen will also be produced.

I am not impressed with the current Electric Vehicles. They lack range and do not recharge quickly, reducing their utility for long trips. Better battery performance is needed, in charging speed, weight, and energy storage. Current EVs are OK for commuting, but not for working vehicles that require more power. E.g. tractors and snowplows.

Even if fossil fuels are not used to produce energy, they are used for a LOT of other things: medicines, textiles, fertilizer, plastic, etc. Before fossil fuels get dangerously low we have to find ways to synthesize all those other things as well as change energy sources.
Fossil fuels will be around for a while. br br H... (show quote)


Good analysis!

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Apr 8, 2023 19:36:05   #
bcheary Loc: Jacksonville, FL
 
burkphoto wrote:
There are enough engineer-entrepreneurs — and venture capitalists throwing money at them — to produce some innovative solutions. The best paradigm shifts seem to come from outside of existing industries, or just far enough outside existing markets to see a new solution.

The key is to do something that is renewable, cheap, clean, efficient. We went to the moon and we're going back. We can find better ways to produce and store and transport energy.



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Apr 9, 2023 07:44:12   #
rlv567 Loc: Baguio City, Philippines
 
DirtFarmer wrote:
Fossil fuels will be around for a while.

Hydrogen is certainly a contender for future energy but it takes energy to produce Hydrogen so I consider Hydrogen more of a storage medium. Solar is probably a good contender for producing Hydrogen as long as it can be done near a good water source. And of course if it's near a good water source there will be clouds. Hydrogen does have storage issues. Hydrogen embrittles steel and it has to be stored at high pressure so containers have to be made from something other than steel. You definitely don't want your high pressure fuel tank to be brittle for a moving vehicle. You can store Hydrogen at low temperature to get around the high pressure requirement but if I recall correctly the sea level pressure temperature of liquid Hydrogen is 23K. Kind of chilly. Liquid Nitrogen is 77K.

I suspect it will be greener to use Hydrogen in fuel cells to produce electricity to run your vehicle. Hydrogen certainly burns well, but it needs oxygen, and rather than have tanks of both Hydrogen and Oxygen in your vehicle, air will probably be used for an internal combustion engine. That means oxides of Nitrogen will also be produced.

I am not impressed with the current Electric Vehicles. They lack range and do not recharge quickly, reducing their utility for long trips. Better battery performance is needed, in charging speed, weight, and energy storage. Current EVs are OK for commuting, but not for working vehicles that require more power. E.g. tractors and snowplows.

Even if fossil fuels are not used to produce energy, they are used for a LOT of other things: medicines, textiles, fertilizer, plastic, etc. Before fossil fuels get dangerously low we have to find ways to synthesize all those other things as well as change energy sources.
Fossil fuels will be around for a while. br br H... (show quote)


Well analyzed and well said!

Loren - in Beautiful Baguio City

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Apr 9, 2023 07:55:29   #
rlv567 Loc: Baguio City, Philippines
 
burkphoto wrote:
It's gonna take a LOT of different technologies to get to the future. We drive four hybrids in our family. Using them doubled our family average gas mileage and cut our long term total cost of car ownership almost in half. They work for us. But my wife's thinking solar-powered battery electric, because her employer just installed solar over all of their rooftops during a plant expansion project.

I'd love to see Hydrogen fuel cells take off, but the overall efficiency isn't really there yet, and it will take years to build all the filling stations we need.

Every technology from gasoline internal combustion engines to battery electric has a long list of advantages and disadvantages. Call my kids in 40 years and ask them, "What won?" I'll bet it's something we haven't seen yet.

The James Webb Space Telescope and CERN are re-shaping what physicists and mathematicians theorize about how the universe works. I wouldn't be surprised if half our assumptions about math, physics, and chemistry are re-directed in the coming decades, and that THAT leads to new sources of energy.
It's gonna take a LOT of different technologies to... (show quote)


"I wouldn't be surprised if half our assumptions about math, physics, and chemistry are re-directed in the coming decades, and that THAT leads to new sources of energy."
You speak the truth!!! The tragedy is that so many sheep/lemmings/idiots are repeating the mantra - "science, science, science, follow the science!", when they are not intelligent/smart enough to understand science, and/or have failed to observe that "science" is far from static, and many absolutes are reversed every 10 years!!! as more research/discoveries have led to a continuing better understanding. (Not even to mention those who lie about "scientific absolute truths" for the furtherance of their agenda.)

Loren - in Beautiful Baguio City

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Apr 9, 2023 08:12:51   #
DirtFarmer Loc: Escaped from the NYC area, back to MA
 
rlv567 wrote:
"I wouldn't be surprised if half our assumptions about math, physics, and chemistry are re-directed in the coming decades, and that THAT leads to new sources of energy."
You speak the truth!!! The tragedy is that so many sheep/lemmings/idiots are repeating the mantra - "science, science, science, follow the science!", when they are not intelligent/smart enough to understand science, and/or have failed to observe that "science" is far from static, and many absolutes are reversed every 10 years!!! as more research/discoveries have led to a continuing better understanding. (Not even to mention those who lie about "scientific absolute truths" for the furtherance of their agenda.)

Loren - in Beautiful Baguio City
"I wouldn't be surprised if half our assumpti... (show quote)


By 'Follow the science', it is necessary to follow in the sense of keeping up with it, for just the reason you state. But in the meantime, the science is the best estimate we have currently.

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Apr 9, 2023 08:52:55   #
Bayou
 
burkphoto wrote:
....We drive four hybrids in our family. Using them doubled our family average gas mileage and cut our long term total cost of car ownership almost in half...


I'd love to see the math behind that claim! LOL!

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Apr 9, 2023 08:53:16   #
jerryc41 Loc: Catskill Mts of NY
 
Nah! Never happen. As burkphoto said - too much technology. Imagine running out of fuel and walking a mile to get a can of hydrogen.

The Molotov cocktail crowd would have to learn new skills.

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Apr 9, 2023 11:01:20   #
burkphoto Loc: High Point, NC
 
Bayou wrote:
I'd love to see the math behind that claim! LOL!


Consumer Reports does it annually for most cars.

Estimated total cost of ownership of a Prius is $.44/mile if you keep the car for 100,000 miles and pay off the loan. That’s including cost of the car, finance charges, sales and property taxes, insurance, tags, title, gas, oil, tires, 12-volt battery, and by-the-book maintenance.

We think that’s about right, although for us it’s less because we keep them for over 150,000 miles.

Think:

> Brakes last over 100,000 miles, due to regenerative braking.

> No starter to wear out.

> No alternator.

> Built by people who actually give a $#!t.

> Engine gets minimal wear because it only runs about half the time. It’s off most of the time the car is not moving, and when the car goes down hill or at low constant speeds on level ground.

> The battery and electric motor provide torque at low speeds. The engine charges the battery and helps accelerate.

> Taxi companies and Lyft/Uber around the world use Prius v wagons. We saw them all over Spain, France, and Italy. At least half the taxis in San Diego are Priuses - usually the v. Many in Cabo San Lucas are Priuses.

The USA is the only country in the world so obsessed with pickups and SUVs. Before about 1990, we had more sense (and wagons and pickups).

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Apr 9, 2023 12:06:19   #
OwlHarbor Loc: Pacific North West USA
 
tgreenhaw wrote:
The problem with hydrogen as a passenger vehicle fuel is distribution.

Wind and solar are cheap and cost effective and we already have a distribution system in place although it does need updating.

Japan is different than the US as it is smaller, but even they never solved the distribution challenges even after a huge effort.


Wind and solar are cost-effective? I keep seeing solar being put on homes and it is expensive to install and hope the people installing it have a new roof prior because you will need to remove the soar prior to re-roofing. I have worked on solar roof panels in the past and know if the system is more than five years old the parts are not available.

Everything I have read about wind power is hugely expensive to install and maintain. The tidal generation has been on the market for many years but lacks political backing.

Fusion power is a great answer yet political backing seems lacking from one political group that backs electric cars, wind, and solar while another political backing does not seem to back it because it could potentially remove profit from the table.

It seems that we should support the people of America rather than a social construct (Capitalism) that is all about making money or pushing a political agenda (either of the two we have to choose from.)

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Apr 9, 2023 12:18:22   #
OwlHarbor Loc: Pacific North West USA
 
burkphoto wrote:
There are enough engineer-entrepreneurs — and venture capitalists throwing money at them — to produce some innovative solutions. The best paradigm shifts seem to come from outside of existing industries, or just far enough outside existing markets to see a new solution.

The key is to do something that is renewable, cheap, clean, and efficient. We went to the moon and we're going back. We can find better ways to produce and store and transport energy.


I like your point, ...throwing money at them... and it's either private investment or our tax dollars. It's interesting that the fear that control of where our tax dollars fund is controlled by general America through our elected politicians rather than capitalists. When people demand great stewardship of our country and our funding then things will change for what I see as better. Some of the things the Hippies advocated in the sixties make sense like we are all connected (quantum mechanics proves this), Power to the people, and free love (sometimes that happens) A huge issue today is fantasy and fact both start with an f. We now live in a society where part of some people believe they have a right to see fantasy as fact or fact as fantasy.

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Apr 9, 2023 12:43:02   #
rlv567 Loc: Baguio City, Philippines
 
OwlHarbor wrote:
Wind and solar are cost-effective? I keep seeing solar being put on homes and it is expensive to install and hope the people installing it have a new roof prior because you will need to remove the soar prior to re-roofing. I have worked on solar roof panels in the past and know if the system is more than five years old the parts are not available.

Everything I have read about wind power is hugely expensive to install and maintain. The tidal generation has been on the market for many years but lacks political backing.

Fusion power is a great answer yet political backing seems lacking from one political group that backs electric cars, wind, and solar while another political backing does not seem to back it because it could potentially remove profit from the table.

It seems that we should support the people of America rather than a social construct (Capitalism) that is all about making money or pushing a political agenda (either of the two we have to choose from.)
Wind and solar are cost-effective? I keep seeing s... (show quote)


"(either of the two we have to choose from.)" ----- So you would be backing Communism, then???

Loren - in Beautiful Baguio City

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Apr 9, 2023 13:05:44   #
jerryc41 Loc: Catskill Mts of NY
 
burkphoto wrote:
Consumer Reports does it annually for most cars.

Estimated total cost of ownership of a Prius is $.44/mile if you keep the car for 100,000 miles and pay off the loan. That’s including cost of the car, finance charges, sales and property taxes, insurance, tags, title, gas, oil, tires, 12-volt battery, and by-the-book maintenance.

We think that’s about right, although for us it’s less because we keep them for over 150,000 miles.

Think:

> Brakes last over 100,000 miles, due to regenerative braking.

> No starter to wear out.

> No alternator.

> Built by people who actually give a $#!t.

> Engine gets minimal wear because it only runs about half the time. It’s off most of the time the car is not moving, and when the car goes down hill or at low constant speeds on level ground.

> The battery and electric motor provide torque at low speeds. The engine charges the battery and helps accelerate.

> Taxi companies and Lyft/Uber around the world use Prius v wagons. We saw them all over Spain, France, and Italy. At least half the taxis in San Diego are Priuses - usually the v. Many in Cabo San Lucas are Priuses.

The USA is the only country in the world so obsessed with pickups and SUVs. Before about 1990, we had more sense (and wagons and pickups).
Consumer Reports does it annually for most cars. ... (show quote)


In most cases, having a pickup is a macho thing. Two guys in a bar: "I left it in my truck." "I left mine in my Prius." Which statement will make the other guys laugh?

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Apr 9, 2023 13:10:11   #
One Rude Dawg Loc: Athol, ID
 
bcheary wrote:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R44denxWmzE&t=556s

Personally, I believe that hydrogen is the way to go.


The Big wrinkle in all these new bright ideas is the logistics of delivering these new bright ideas. Took over a 100 years so you can get fuel delivery system in place. I wish them lots of luck, "ain't" going to happen anytime soon.

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Apr 9, 2023 13:39:30   #
Bayou
 
burkphoto wrote:
...Estimated total cost of ownership of a Prius is...


https://www.edmunds.com/tco.html

I'm glad you like your Prius, but its ownership cost is not half that of a comparable non-hybrid car, in this case a Corolla Hatchback. The total cost is about the same for the first five years. Beyond five years the numbers begin to favor the non-hybrid car, which lacks the battery replacement and system complexity issues all the more. This Edmunds calculator is very illustrative.

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Apr 9, 2023 14:35:33   #
DirtFarmer Loc: Escaped from the NYC area, back to MA
 
Bayou wrote:
https://www.edmunds.com/tco.html

I'm glad you like your Prius, but its ownership cost is not half that of a comparable non-hybrid car, in this case a Corolla Hatchback. The total cost is about the same for the first five years. Beyond five years the numbers begin to favor the non-hybrid car, which lacks the battery replacement and system complexity issues all the more. This Edmunds calculator is very illustrative.


I had a Prius for 12 years. During that time I replaced the 12 volt battery twice. Never had a problem with the main battery. Traded it in 6 years ago for another because the newer ones had more safety features and I was getting older. The 12 volt battery lasted 6 years, longer than I have ever had a 12 volt battery in a vehicle last (and with 2 cars, 2 trucks, 8 tractors, I was replacing 1-3 12 volt batteries a year). The only things I have replaced on my Prius were brake pads. Updated the computer under warranty. No other issues.

The capital cost was a bit more than other cars I had been buying but the fuel savings offset that.

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