burkphoto wrote:
It's counterintuitive, but it is the right thing to do! Mirrorless is a totally different world of possibilities.
If you think like a dSLR designer when designing a mirrorless camera, you lose.
Mirrorless is as much of a paradigm shift as the iPhone is, compared to the BlackBerry or Nokia phones available in 2007.
I know you all want to use your big old EF L glass, but why? If they make new lenses for a pro mirrorless, they will be better, lighter, and more in balance with the body... I'm sure you'll be able to adapt lenses (as in the case of the EOS M5, M6...), but there may be some annoyances with adapters.
It's counterintuitive, but it is the right thing t... (
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I think your logic is sound at a meta level, but I think it is going to be a long transition, which Canon, Nikon, others have to navigate successfully if they are going to prosper. One might consider it 'Crossing the Chasm' (Geoffrey Moore) as startup companies have to manage, or 'Who Says Elephants Can't Dance?' (Lou Gerstner) about transforming a behemoth. Lessons to be learned, and fortunes to be lost. I have seen (and been part of) many startups falling into the chasm, and many behemoths fall by the wayside, and be absorbed into other enterprises, sometimes to continue their slide into the abyss.
Interestingly enough most of the companies we are discussing here are in the behemoth category - Canon, Nikon, Sony, Panasonic, Olympus, Fuji, Pentax, and so on. I do believe that mirrorless, EVFs, electronic shutters et al will be the next end game, but to be successful at a system level takes decades, and it also typically takes a decade or more for big companies to die, just like the UHH community. The truth is that very few startups or behemoths actually survive the transition.
So far Canon is doing extremely well, both in corporate success and in the camera markets, both new and old. Sony hasn't been without its problems, but is now widely acknowledged as the leader in sensors for both smartphones and ILC cameras, however as a company it is still in turnaround mode. I won't comment on the others since I don't have time to do a robust analysis, although it would be an interesting project if someone would pay me enough to do it, but nobody on UHH could or would be able / willing to afford that.
Bottom line, I think we mostly agree where the market is going, but it is going to be slow journey at a system and company level. Especially as we old farts die off, and the new generation of talented smart phone users look beyond the photographic capabilities of a basic $1,000 smartphone.