TrainNut wrote:
Money. :( :-(
TrainNut is right -- money (and politics) is at the heart of our energy problem. The mix of coal, gas and nuclear as fuel choices for the electric grid should mean that these are back-ups to prevent fuel shortages at the electric generating plants. So far as I know not one generating plant has had to shut down because it ran low on fuel. The problem with the electric network is the transmission system, which breaks down when bad weather -- both hot and cold -- disrupts the high-tension lines, too often causing a cascading outage that spreads over several states. Just look at the outage that put hundreds of thousands of Easterners in the freezing dark this past week. Without electricity their heating systems don't work, so they're freezing because of the power outage, not because there is too little gas. But the electric companies don't have any way to significantly increase the capacity and reliability of their existing transmission system, and they're uncertain about assuming the cost of any new plants unless they can count on right-of-way easements for new transmission lines plus the rate increases to pay for them.
Back in the Eisenhower presidency the government conducted a big push promoting nuclear power as the replacement for "dirty" coal. General Electric (which had its former chairman in the White House as Secretary of Energy) makes nuclear generators and saw a terrific market opening. The utilities, however, were not enthusiastic, because they learned that the reactors had a huge waste disposal problem, for which they did not want to be responsible. The Nuclear Regulatory Agency reassured them that the federal government would handle that. So more than 100 nuclear plants were built, and within a few years after each went online they asked the feds to pick up the used highly radioactive rods and take them away. Only the feds had no place to put them and they still don't, so each of those nuclear plants has a large ultra-toxic radioactive dump next to its nuclear plant, and each of those is still growing. Then the Three-Mile Island plant blew up, resulting in the electric companies digging in their heels and saying that the feds should get their act together and find someplace to ship that stuff to, and they stopped building new nukes. After more than four decades the proposed nuclear waste storage facility in Nevada is not usable and Harry Reid (in the Senate) says he will block any attempt to inaugurate it. So I don't think we're going to see any new nuclear generating plants unless the government builds them, regardless of what the Republican right-wing thinks should be done.
As far as the coal situation goes, the pressure to ease restrictions on coal-fired emissions isn't coming from the homes of out-of-work miners, but rather from the walnut-wonderlands of Wall Street boardrooms. The underground coal mines are not the primary source of the huge amounts needed by the electric plants. For the past two decades or more the industry has been scalping the West Virginia and Kentucky mountains with strip-mining to reach coal deposits. The people living near them are really unhappy about that because their habitat is being destroyed. But the coal companies are notorious for ignoring public opinion. When coal miners strike -- as they frequently have -- they face brutal strikebreakers hired by Wall Street's mine owners (who live nowhere near the mines). The companies have "promised" to restore the landscape when the deposits are exhausted. Don't hold your breath.
So what about natural gas? The gas industry is basically an off-shoot of the oil industry, which Forbes neglects to mention. Most oil wells also emit natural gas, which for many years was regarded by the industry as a nuisance which they vented into the air or burned off. It's only since the end of WWII that gas pipelines began to spread out from the oil fields toward the rest of the country. The electric companies initially saw gas as competition and fought it with advertising and political pressure, and some utilities still object. The Forbes article ignores all those facts because the magazine has an agenda. Pipeline extensions still face resistance from fearful people, from other energy providers, and from property owners who feel their rights are being violated, especially with easements or eminent domain lawsuits. Do you want a high-pressure gas pipeline running through your property?
Anyway, the natural gas supplies are ample in normal weather conditions, and can be expanded much faster than the building of any new coal power plants with their necessary high tension distribution lines. The electric companies are not interested in the concept of smaller plants nearer to cities, even though that concept means less power bleed from too-long power lines. Almost 50 percent of the power is lost by bleeding before it reaches the user, especially in hot weather. When the hot weather causes air conditioning demand to overload electric lines, I don't hear Forbes crying for more power lines, because the electric companies will tell them to chill out.