Pretty much find myself in full agreement with your thoughtful analysis - There is however one item you did not discuss - Mass repeated testing of the population - Until that happens we are a lot like the cat chasing it's tail -- From what I have read there is about a two week period from the time an individual catches this virus until they "think" may have it. Ongoing testing would identify those individuals & allow the medical community to properly isolate them-- In other words flatten the damn curve --- Maybe even get healthy folks out of their isolation & back to work & kids back into their classrooms