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Is the advance of camera technology going to slow at some point soon?
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Aug 29, 2018 08:17:12   #
markjay
 
the rate of change and improvement will increase - not slow down !

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Aug 29, 2018 08:18:07   #
Skiextreme2 Loc: Northwest MA
 
As long as there is greed/want for "more" (and camera companies that need to outdo their competitors, and keep those greedy people buying new camera's), the camera tech will continue to evolve. The ability to take "more" excellent quality photos may increase do to faster sensors and bigger buffers, but as many here have said, a 70 year old camera in knowledgeable photographers hand will still be able to take the same quality photo as the newest "tech" will.

Most don't need "more" but those that take action photos would love to see 60-100 FPS at 50+ mega pixels for 10-20 seconds at 50-100 ISO.

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Aug 29, 2018 08:39:51   #
James R. Kyle Loc: Saint Louis, Missouri (A Suburb of Ferguson)
 
For more than 180 years people have been building and making use of a "lightproof box with a lens on it".
The technology with the improvement of these "boxes" has been on an exponential upward curve since that time.
I do not think that it will level off. Someone will always come up with a "Better Mousetrap".

=0=





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Aug 29, 2018 08:40:09   #
Spirit Vision Photography Loc: Behind a Camera.
 
InfiniteISO wrote:
So our IT guy is rolling out new desktops and laptops at work. This happens about every 3 years. Many have noticed that the new machines are pretty much the same box performance-wise as they're giving up, making the swap-grade that much more painful. Now I realize that my coworkers and I, engineers for the most part, are not rocket scientists and we're not working to solve world hunger or cure cancer. We use our computers for the normal engineering stuff: basic CAD, email, minesweeper, etc. The formula the powers that be use to decide how nice of a PC we get every three years appears to be this: "get them the best PC you can for $2000 and spend $4000 on the guy in the corner who does all the crazy stuff.

Now from a camera standpoint, I can't afford to stay on the bleeding edge of technology. Photography is a hobby, after all. I own a D100, a D90, and a D7000, all purchased used. That said, I window shop and dream quite a bit when I'm not playing minesweeper. To me it seems cameras are still breaking some amazing ground. The D7500 and D500 are sports cars that make my D7000 look like a wheelbarrow, especially from an ISO standpoint. Yet the 7000 and the 7500 didn't have drastically different release prices when they were new. So from year to year, at least when it comes to cameras, it seems the same money is still buying better and better technology. I'm sure this the same for every brand and camera type, DSLR, Mirrorless, etc.

I guess I'm just wondering if cameras can continue this crazy space race for much longer. Does anyone think we're nearing the point where a camera made a couple years from now will not be significantly better than one made today? Oh, and one of you wonderful folks who just have to have the latest and greatest may currently own my next camera, so go ahead, trade that well-cared-for baby in.
So our IT guy is rolling out new desktops and lapt... (show quote)



I do not pay attention to it. I am still shooting exclusively with older film cameras.

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Aug 29, 2018 08:44:12   #
jerryc41 Loc: Catskill Mts of NY
 
Fotomacher wrote:
As for the first statement, “just kidding”.


Thank goodness! : )

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Aug 29, 2018 08:45:03   #
James R. Kyle Loc: Saint Louis, Missouri (A Suburb of Ferguson)
 
Kiron Kid wrote:
I do not pay attention to it. I am still shooting exclusively with older film cameras.


=============

Some of us do both.

=0=

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Aug 29, 2018 08:52:37   #
selmslie Loc: Fernandina Beach, FL, USA
 
Apaflo wrote:
... A 250MP sensor for a Full Frame camera. Sensors with that pixel pitch for at least a 4x5 perhaps larger format. ....

There is still that pesky system resolution thing. Where are you going to find that perfect lens?

Reality check:
- The best lens available today can barely resolve 3200 lines per picture height at the center in terms of sharpness. That's about 15 MP and it costs about $4,000.
- A 250 MP sensor would produce nearly 13,000 line pairs per picture height but they would be blurred by the lens.

The H6D-400C MS can generate a 400MP image by combining 6 100MP shots. It uses a 53.4 × 40.0mm sensor.

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Aug 29, 2018 08:53:13   #
ole sarg Loc: south florida
 
Some times the 50s auto got you from point a to b!

The biggest advancement in autos is reliability.


IDguy wrote:
I feel digital cameras are fast approaching the auto industry level of innovation. Today’s autos transport you the same as 1950s autos. But they have many additional features that improve the experience, from automatic transmissions and air conditioning through adaptive cruise control and auto parking.

But the 1950 model still gets you from point A to point B in the same time.

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Aug 29, 2018 09:02:34   #
dsmeltz Loc: Philadelphia
 
InfiniteISO wrote:
So our IT guy is rolling out new desktops and laptops at work. This happens about every 3 years. Many have noticed that the new machines are pretty much the same box performance-wise as they're giving up, making the swap-grade that much more painful. Now I realize that my coworkers and I, engineers for the most part, are not rocket scientists and we're not working to solve world hunger or cure cancer. We use our computers for the normal engineering stuff: basic CAD, email, minesweeper, etc. The formula the powers that be use to decide how nice of a PC we get every three years appears to be this: "get them the best PC you can for $2000 and spend $4000 on the guy in the corner who does all the crazy stuff.

Now from a camera standpoint, I can't afford to stay on the bleeding edge of technology. Photography is a hobby, after all. I own a D100, a D90, and a D7000, all purchased used. That said, I window shop and dream quite a bit when I'm not playing minesweeper. To me it seems cameras are still breaking some amazing ground. The D7500 and D500 are sports cars that make my D7000 look like a wheelbarrow, especially from an ISO standpoint. Yet the 7000 and the 7500 didn't have drastically different release prices when they were new. So from year to year, at least when it comes to cameras, it seems the same money is still buying better and better technology. I'm sure this the same for every brand and camera type, DSLR, Mirrorless, etc.

I guess I'm just wondering if cameras can continue this crazy space race for much longer. Does anyone think we're nearing the point where a camera made a couple years from now will not be significantly better than one made today? Oh, and one of you wonderful folks who just have to have the latest and greatest may currently own my next camera, so go ahead, trade that well-cared-for baby in.
So our IT guy is rolling out new desktops and lapt... (show quote)


Unless you have a very broad definition of "slow" and "soon", then no.

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Aug 29, 2018 09:05:55   #
gvarner Loc: Central Oregon Coast
 
Development seems a bit bogged down now because we use the camera product for viewing. An innovative use for the photo will result in a commensurate leap in the technology neccessary to produce it. This happens all the time with computer hardware and software - the use drives the advances in the technology.

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Aug 29, 2018 09:13:30   #
Spirit Vision Photography Loc: Behind a Camera.
 
Vision will always trump technology. Your present Camera will produce excellent results. Put your money and time into honing your vision and technique.

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Aug 29, 2018 09:20:32   #
selmslie Loc: Fernandina Beach, FL, USA
 
gvarner wrote:
Development seems a bit bogged down now because we use the camera product for viewing. An innovative use for the photo will result in a commensurate leap in the technology neccessary to produce it. This happens all the time with computer hardware and software - the use drives the advances in the technology.

There is a practical limit to any technology.

The wheel was first used on chariots about 5000 years ago. Fifty centuries of progress has morphed it into today's car and truck tires but it has gotten any rounder.

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Aug 29, 2018 09:27:42   #
dsmeltz Loc: Philadelphia
 
selmslie wrote:
There is a practical limit to any technology.

The wheel was first used on chariots about 5000 years ago. Fifty centuries of progress has morphed it into today's car and truck tires but it has gotten any rounder.


This reminds me of Earth Shoes (AKA the KALSO shoe.) The toe is higher than the heel. They used to say it was based on footprints in the sand. Based on the same logic an advance in car tires should also be made. Tire tracks in the sand are completely flat. Therefore a better tire should be flat.

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Aug 29, 2018 09:45:45   #
Glenn Harve
 
dpullum wrote:
Incremental, until that break thru moment by one of the non-conservative countries that have positive education financing and actually value science. At one time that would have been the USA. Consider how much is imported from far east where digital became king... what happened to Kodak and the first digital camera.

Our onboard computers are miracle workers and yes the sensors have improved. Lenses, approaching 100 years old, improved, yes, but great innovations, slow.


The US spends more money per student than most other countries. Countries that spend far less often rank higher in international tests. This trend has directly paralleled a change in American classrooms, specifically the "mindset" of our teachers. Guess what that "mindset" is....

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Aug 29, 2018 10:04:23   #
olemikey Loc: 6 mile creek, Spacecoast Florida
 
It will all get better and better until we burn it up, or blow it up......if something sent us back to the stone age next Friday, we'd just start it all over again, it's the nature of the beast!

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