John Hicks wrote:
Ricardo you are wrong are you sure you are reading the paper correctly the rate for the Oford/ Astra Zenica vaccine is over 92% and I would rather listen to Chris Witty and John Van the who are the Medical Officer of Health and his deputy Can Tam this was said on National Television with the prime minister Boris Johnson present than from what I perceive to be an American especially after the disgraceful scenes that have occurred in Washington. I hope you are never going to say again the US stands for law and order.
Ricardo you are wrong are you sure you are reading... (
show quote)
Politics aside, I believe that you are incorrect based on published data.
Understand that, due to an error, the Astra Zeneca vaccine results are divided into 2 subsets:
- the majority of participants who received 2 full doses, 21 days apart, and
- a smaller group that received a half-dose initially followed by a full dose for their second shot
The results as reported by Astra Zeneca in the Dec 8 Lancet are as follows:
"Vaccine efficacy for the prespecified primary analysis (combining dose groups) against the primary endpoint of COVID-19 occurring more than 14 days after the second dose was 70·4%."The above quote refers to the overall efficacy combining both dosage groups.
"Surprisingly" they found that in the small group of participants who received a half-dose first and a full dose second, the efficacy was 90%.
The efficacy in the majority of participants, who received two full doses, was only 62.1%
The article then states "Efficacy was similar when evaluated starting at 21 days after the first standard dose (192 cases),
suggesting there is at least short-term protection with one dose."
So based on 192 participants, they extrapolate that
the efficacy after one dose is similar to the overall efficacy, which as stated above, was 70.4% (unless it is really 62.1% assuming two full doses), but not even close to 90%.
I suggest you read the Lancet article here:
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(20)32623-4/fulltextor as summarized in USA Today:
"As previously reported, the vaccine, called AZD1222, was shown to be 70% effective among the more than 11,000 participants, though only about 60% effective among people who received the standard two-dose regimen.
By accident, a subset of the British volunteers, about 2,700 participants, received a half-dose of the vaccine the first time and a full-dose of the vaccine the second – and were 90% protected. It’s not yet clear whether that improved effectiveness was due to a statistical fluke, or whether the lower dose primed the immune system to better protect against COVID-19."
https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/health/2020/12/08/astrazeneca-oxford-covid-vaccine-effectiveness-reaffirmed-after-error/6488650002/