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Cold Weather and Electric Cars, Part 2
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Feb 11, 2019 16:59:31   #
G Brown Loc: Sunny Bognor Regis West Sussex UK
 
JBruce wrote:
The really HUGE elephant in the room and one that everyone fears to address, or even acknowledge, is the issue of over-population by our benighted species. At the rate that it is growing and along with the wants of all of those folks, let alone their needs, your grandchildren and great grands are going to be living in a horror of a world in just a short time. I wish them well as they look back at this generation and its many failures to anticipate where we are driving this world. Copy and paste http://www.worldometers.info/world-population/ for numbers, shocking.
The really HUGE elephant in the room and one that ... (show quote)


Please look at the small print....Developed countries are having a decline in birth rate, Third world countries have both an increase in births and a habit of mass murder every decade so net increase is not quite discussed.

Data is wonderful, just so long as you understand that it is a tool designed to show what somebody wants, rather than what you don't want.

on the point of the OP....eventually we will understand that those who work on PC's do not need to commute to work. As people become more 'entertained' at home and insular, there will be fewer vacation destinations and distrust of being in the great outdoors. As the number of poor explode, car choice will not be an issue. On-line shopping even negates 'going out'. Actual shopping in real shops isn't going to be profitable to sellers or buyers.
City dwellers are already living in the tower blocks that house their employer and benefit from cafe's and shops subsidized by their rent. Cities are and will continue to expand by the use of mixed use buildings.
The increase in 12v technology could actually negate the 220v use in both home and industry. Thus allowing greater 'public transport' in urban areas. There is no reason why homes could not be run on a 12v system now, without the need of batteries.

As for a horse......great idea. On a whole host of reasons.

Reply
Feb 11, 2019 17:14:18   #
Jimmy T Loc: Virginia
 
Jerry said, "Saving money is often expensive". Well, it sure is expensive especially if you are the taxpayer subsidizing the cost of a Telsa with your tax dollars. A car that I can't afford to buy. Go figure out my payback. Also, there seldom is a realistic payback when you have to replace the battery pack. What about waiting in line to use a charging station and then "hanging out" at a state-owned rest stop for 4-5 hours for your Telsa to complete charging up. It also costs a lot in fossil fuel $$$ to generate that electricity since they no longer build nuclear power plants. Gotta run, supper is ready!
jerryc41 wrote:
When my son was shopping for his last two cars, I compared MPG and cost of a Honda Fit and a Prius. Although the Prius gets great mileage, and owners love them, it would take him many years to break even, considering the higher price of the Prius. Government subsidies helped to even out costs, but now that they're gone, saving money means buying the cheaper vehicle. We decided that the Fit would be more practical and economical. Saving money is often expensive.



Reply
Feb 11, 2019 17:21:13   #
Manglesphoto Loc: 70 miles south of St.Louis
 
G Brown wrote:
Please look at the small print....Developed countries are having a decline in birth rate, Third world countries have both an increase in births and a habit of mass murder every decade so net increase is not quite discussed.

Data is wonderful, just so long as you understand that it is a tool designed to show what somebody wants, rather than what you don't want.

on the point of the OP....eventually we will understand that those who work on PC's do not need to commute to work. As people become more 'entertained' at home and insular, there will be fewer vacation destinations and distrust of being in the great outdoors. As the number of poor explode, car choice will not be an issue. On-line shopping even negates 'going out'. Actual shopping in real shops isn't going to be profitable to sellers or buyers.
City dwellers are already living in the tower blocks that house their employer and benefit from cafe's and shops subsidized by their rent. Cities are and will continue to expand by the use of mixed use buildings.
The increase in 12v technology could actually negate the 220v use in both home and industry. Thus allowing greater 'public transport' in urban areas. There is no reason why homes could not be run on a 12v system now, without the need of batteries.

As for a horse......great idea. On a whole host of reasons.
Please look at the small print....Developed countr... (show quote)

I heat with electricity , do that on 12dc.
As for the horse , I can see that happening, Not!!!!

Reply
 
 
Feb 11, 2019 17:34:52   #
TriX Loc: Raleigh, NC
 
Mr Quark wrote:
Worrying about batteries is great but even more important is being able to charge those batteries. You still need more than windmills and solar; especially in the winter. Coal is always available and could be close to electric generators. Too many people have failed to look into what many call "Dumb Energy" . Believing all this GREEN baloney because you heard the news report it or listening to climate model scientists is dangerous. "Consensus" is not true Science......


With respect, coal generation is the last thing we need - a dirty fuel that is largely being replaced by natural gas (which isn’t a long-term answer either). Coal is dying a well-deserved death. Not only is it a bad air pollutant, but the resulting coal ash is a nightmare to dispose of. We have millions of tons of it here in NC and Duke Energy is struggling to find a safe way to dispose of it. We’ve already had a major spill into local rivers, and Duke is planning on passing on the disposal costs to customers, not shareholders. Next time you’re driving through WV, take a look at the effects of the current preferred method of coal mining - “mountain top removal”, and see if you like what you see. Existing coal plants cost so much to retrofit to clean up the emissions, that most are either converting to NG or planning to.

The earlier points about the difficulty of energy storage and the conversion from DC to AC for Solar are spot on, and even if we could build out the huge solar infrastructure we’d need to replace fossil, we still need a reliable energy source at night, and like it or not, that drives you to nuclear. We need as much Solar, Wind and Hydro as we can get, but unless we want to freeze in the dark, we’re going to have to increase our nuclear infrastructure, until we discover a new technology.

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Feb 11, 2019 18:00:28   #
TriX Loc: Raleigh, NC
 
Jimmy T wrote:
It also costs a lot in fossil fuel $$$ to generate that electricity since they no longer build nuclear power plants. Gotta run, supper is ready!



After a long hiatus of new nuclear plants, there have been several new applications recently submitted for approval. Nuclear has gotten a bad rap in this country lead by sensational reports about the dangers that are not born out by the facts. If you take out the Russians (who use a cheap, unsafe design for their plants), Nuclear has an excellent safety record. If you take Chernobyl out of the picture and consider other countries with stable nuclear designs (water rather than graphite moderated reactors) There have been orders of magnitude less injuries and deaths from Nuclear than from oil, coal and NG. It’s very instructive to Google nuclear accidents and read the actual facts. The few deaths that have occurred in “modern” countries have almost all been in small research reactors, not commercial plants. In the worst scenario at Fukushima Japan, about 40,000 people died in the Tsunami, but not a single person died in the 4 nuclear reactors whose safety mechanisms were inundated by water and experienced various degrees of core melt-down from loss of cooling.

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Feb 11, 2019 19:03:32   #
Mr Quark
 
A constant comment "Save out Planet" .... Do you really believe it needs saving?? Do you really imagine that a bunch of humans can destroy the planet????? Do you really believe that all these events( as listed constantly by the frightened climate change believers) have not happened in the past????? If you really believe this baloney then you owe it to yourself to study all aspects of this controversy; because those I talk to and read know very little when you question them on their beliefs. Name 3 deniers; 3 believers; hockey stick ; greenhouse gasses; rubisco; anthropogenic; computer modeling; etc etc.........

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Feb 11, 2019 19:25:00   #
TriX Loc: Raleigh, NC
 
R
Mr Quark wrote:
A constant comment "Save out Planet" .... Do you really believe it needs saving?? Do you really imagine that a bunch of humans can destroy the planet????? Do you really believe that all these events( as listed constantly by the frightened climate change believers) have not happened in the past????? If you really believe this baloney then you owe it to yourself to study all aspects of this controversy; because those I talk to and read know very little when you question them on their beliefs. Name 3 deniers; 3 believers; hockey stick ; greenhouse gasses; rubisco; anthropogenic; computer modeling; etc etc.........
A constant comment "Save out Planet" ...... (show quote)


Please - not another climate chant denier - even the hard-core deniers are beginning to relent in the face of indisputable evidence. I for one have studied all aspects of this issue in detail, and like 90+ percent of scientists, I believe the data I see - that 2015, 16, 17 and 18 are the hottest years since we’ve been accumulating data. Here in NC, the numbered days above the average and days below the average in temperature have doubled since 2008. Satellite imagery clearly show Glacier and ice pack melt at the poles. It’s no accident that sea passages that were proverbially blocked by ice in the winter are now open to sea traffic. I don’t need to take anyone’s word for it - I can download LandSat and other satellite images and see it for myself. Now it is certainly true that there have been cyclical temperature changes in earth’s past, but I think it’s becoming indisputable that we are contributing to climate change. Since many of the US major cities are coastal cities, even a foot or two of sea level drive can cause extensive and expensive consequences.

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Feb 11, 2019 19:56:07   #
Mr Quark
 
Same old baloney 90+ scientists....haha; did you see glacier park 300 years ago???? the deniers are more emphatic than ever.. relent ...haha I bet you believe Al Gore too...So far you sound like a record of the muttering of the fright doctors. Show me some real PROOF that all these events are caused by us. Are we really that powerful??? If so the DENiers should be easily able to wipe out the baloney pushers...... Just for your info did you know that we are entering a cooling period???? gotta go my shoes are filling up with warm water......and that ain't pee.........Thanks

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Feb 11, 2019 20:20:50   #
TriX Loc: Raleigh, NC
 
Mr Quark wrote:
Same old baloney 90+ scientists....haha; did you see glacier park 300 years ago???? the deniers are more emphatic than ever.. relent ...haha I bet you believe Al Gore too...So far you sound like a record of the muttering of the fright doctors. Show me some real PROOF that all these events are caused by us. Are we really that powerful??? If so the DENiers should be easily able to wipe out the baloney pushers...... Just for your info did you know that we are entering a cooling period???? gotta go my shoes are filling up with warm water......and that ain't pee.........Thanks
Same old baloney 90+ scientists....haha; did you ... (show quote)


Perhaps you need to read some REAL data (NOAA): https://www.climate.gov/news-features/blogs/beyond-data/warming-winters-across-united-states

or: https://www.ucsusa.org/our-work/global-warming/science-and-impacts/global-warming-science#.XGIfu4xOmhA

Now if you don’t agree with the above conclusions, just go to NOAA.gov and start downloading some historical Landsat polar images or look up temperature records from NCDC (National Climatic Data Center) - the world’s most comprehensive weather data repository or NCAR or... Now after you’ve educated yourself with actual FACTS, come back and give us some of your resources and data that disagrees.

Reply
Feb 11, 2019 21:48:51   #
Mr Bill 2011 Loc: southern Indiana
 
davefales wrote:
There have been quite a few views (over 3000) of my posting from zerohedge.com last Monday about the problems electric cars faced during the polar vortex. A few comments were the not-unexpected ad-hominem type insinuating you should not trust a "right-wing" site.

That is unfortunate because the unveiling of the Green New Deal this week suggests it is time to have an honest debate about the tradeoffs involved in ridding the world of carbon emissions.

I suspect few would consider the American Automobile Association and CNBC to be right wing sites. It is hard to imagine running a car in -20F conditions without wanting some internal heat.

For your further understanding:

https://www.cnbc.com/2019/02/06/aaa-confirms-what-tesla-bmw-nissan-ev-owners-suspected-of-cold-weather.html

AAA confirms what Tesla, BMW, Nissan electric car owners suspected — cold weather saps EV range. Even turning on the car drains power

The AAA study appears to be the first to have used standard, repeatable methodology to confirm the problem.

AAA tested the BMW i3s, the Chevrolet Bolt EV, the Nissan Leaf, the Tesla Model S and the Volkswagen e-Golf.
Paul A. Eisenstein | @DetroitBureau
Published 16 Hours Ago Updated 1 Hour Ago
CNBC.com


Hoping to increase the appeal of their battery-electric vehicles, automakers have begun rolling out an assortment of "long-range" models, such as the Tesla Model 3, Chevrolet Bolt EV, Jaguar I-Pace and Nissan Leaf Plus.

Under ideal conditions, these products can deliver more than 200 miles per charge and, in some cases, even 300. But as many owners discovered last week as winter storms slammed much of the country, cold weather does not qualify as "ideal." A new AAA study finds that when the thermometer dropped to 20 degrees Fahrenheit, range fell by an average of 41 percent on the five models it tested.

"We found that the impact of temperature on EVs is significantly more than we expected," said Greg Brannon, AAA's director of automotive engineering.

Some EV drivers — including this correspondent — recently found that range can drop by half when the mercury tumbles into negative territory. The AAA study appears to be the first to have used standard, repeatable methodology to confirm the problem and compare the effect of winter temperatures on different models.

Several surprises emerged from the research, according to Brannon, starting with the fact that the impact on range was pretty much uniform among the cars tested: the BMW i3s, the Chevrolet Bolt EV, the Nissan Leaf, the Tesla Model S and the Volkswagen e-Golf.

"It's something all automakers are going to have to deal with as they push for further EV deployment because it's something that could surprise consumers," said Brannon.

Different factors can affect the loss of range, he and other experts have noted. Simply turning on the electric vehicles AAA studied in 20 degree weather revealed a 12 percent loss in range. On a vehicle like the Chevy Bolt, with an EPA rating of 238 miles per charge, that would drop range to 209 miles. But that part of the test assumed operating the vehicle with cabin heat and seat heaters turned off.

Brannon said using climate control revealed an even bigger surprise: Range dipped by an average 41 percent — which would bring an EV like the Bolt down to just 140 miles per charge.

The problem is that unlike a car with an internal combustion engine that can warm the cabin with waste heat, EVs have to tap into their batteries to power the climate control system.

Part of the problem, he said, is that "lithium-ion batteries like the same sort of temperatures that we do, around 70 degrees."

Much below that and the chemistry that's used to store energy runs into various problems. Among other things, battery components develop increased resistance that limits how much power they can hold, as well as how fast a battery pack can be charged or discharged, said Timothy Grewe, chief engineer for electric propulsion systems at General Motors.

Grewe has experienced sharp reductions in the range of his own Chevy Bolt, but he also said there are ways to limit the impact of cold weather. That includes storing a battery car in a garage, preferably one that's heated. And wherever it is parked, it helps to keep the EV plugged in. Onboard electronics will prevent overcharging. But many battery vehicles are programmed to use some of the energy from the grid to keep the battery pack warm, improving its efficiency.

Motorists are also advised to "precondition" their EVs, Grewe and Brannon said. That means heating up the cabin while still connected to the grid, rather than drawing energy from the battery pack. Most new battery-electric vehicles have custom smartphone apps that allow a driver to switch on cabin heat remotely when plugged in. Commuters can even preprogram the system to automatically start at a particular time of day.

While cold weather is especially hard on range, batteries also don't like hot weather, said Brannon. "Much like when it's cold, in hot weather EVs suffer some decrease in range, but not as much as in the cold."

The AAA study found range fell 4 percent from EPA numbers at 95 degrees. But, again, that number was assuming the motorist didn't mind sweating. Turn the climate control system down to 70 degrees, AAA found and range fell by 17 percent.

Tesla emailed a statement that disputed AAA's findings, saying the report exaggerates the impact that cold weather has on its electric vehicles' range. The company didn't provide data saying how much range is lost in cold temperatures.

"Based on real-world data from our fleet, which includes millions of long trips taken by real Model S customers, we know with certainty that, even when using heating and air conditioning, the average Model S customer doesn't experience anywhere near that decrease in range at 20 degrees Fahrenheit," the company said in a statement. "And the decrease in range at 95 degrees Fahrenheit is roughly 1 percent."

One thing that EVs and conventional vehicles have in common is that energy efficiency — whether measured by range or miles per gallon — can be affected by a variety of factors. These can include your driving style, as well as the terrain.

Do a lot of hill climbing and you're going to use energy faster. EVs, however, are especially sensitive to any accessory drawing power, whether the car's climate control or even headlights, meaning that driving at night, whatever the weather, will hurt range.
There have been quite a few views (over 3000) of m... (show quote)


anyone who stayed awake, or at least semi-conscious, through high school chemistry would know that cold temperatures have a negative effect on battery performance!

Reply
Feb 11, 2019 23:51:52   #
pendennis
 
TriX wrote:
R

Please - not another climate chant denier - even the hard-core deniers are beginning to relent in the face of indisputable evidence. I for one have studied all aspects of this issue in detail, and like 90+ percent of scientists, I believe the data I see - that 2015, 16, 17 and 18 are the hottest years since we’ve been accumulating data. Here in NC, the numbered days above the average and days below the average in temperature have doubled since 2008. Satellite imagery clearly show Glacier and ice pack melt at the poles. It’s no accident that sea passages that were proverbially blocked by ice in the winter are now open to sea traffic. I don’t need to take anyone’s word for it - I can download LandSat and other satellite images and see it for myself. Now it is certainly true that there have been cyclical temperature changes in earth’s past, but I think it’s becoming indisputable that we are contributing to climate change. Since many of the US major cities are coastal cities, even a foot or two of sea level drive can cause extensive and expensive consequences.
R br br Please - not another climate chant denier... (show quote)


There isn't a great deal of denial that the climate changes. However, the "Greens" insisted that the world was cooling in the 70's, then warming in the 90's, and having lost both arguments, have shifted the argument to climate change. They've even falsified weather data studies to support their case, and in doing so, have lost credibility with huge numbers of folks. Politicizing science is not a good idea, nor is using a term like "scientific consensus", especially when the 94% was based on a badly conducted poll.

The climate on earth has been changing for good and bad for around 4 billion years. A great deal of the previous change, i.e. before homo erectus, was due to various phenomena such as asteroid/meteor collisions with the earth, huge volcanic eruptions, and the solar wind. Since man's ascendance, we still have the same causal factors mostly external to man's presence.

Some of the greatest air pollution has come from eruptions of Mt. St. Helens, Mt. Vesuvius, Mt. Etna, Krakatoa, etc. There's even geologic/vulcanologic of massive eruptions in the area of Yellowstone National Park; and there, one is overdue.

We also have huge geopolitical problems, especially with the China and India. They're growing their economies, and the hell with the rest of the world. Their contributions to global pollution far outweigh anything by the U.S.

As to alternative fuel usage, developing countries can't afford green technology on any level. A country can't escalate its growth from 3rd World, even to 2nd World, without using fossil fuels, whether oil or coal based.

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Feb 12, 2019 08:02:58   #
davefales Loc: Virginia
 
Anyone who says "the science is settled" is not a scientist...even if they have a STEM degree.

Thankfully, the 97% claim has been proven bogus. But the fact that a lot of people believe it makes it difficult to have a serious discussion of what changes are worth the accompanying negatives.

Reply
Feb 12, 2019 08:48:24   #
Jimmy T Loc: Virginia
 
I concur with the assessment of pendennis, especially on the "badly conducted poll."
In my opinion, all you have to do is disclose who funded the studies and polls.
Then you will understand that the folks that provide the funding get the results that they want, without exception.
Just my Nickles Worth,
JimmyT Sends

PS: Can we return to our passion for photography and leave the "unsettled politics" alone???
pendennis wrote:
There isn't a great deal of denial that the climate changes. However, the "Greens" insisted that the world was cooling in the 70's, then warming in the 90's, and having lost both arguments, have shifted the argument to climate change. They've even falsified weather data studies to support their case, and in doing so, have lost credibility with huge numbers of folks. Politicizing science is not a good idea, nor is using a term like "scientific consensus", especially when the 94% was based on a badly conducted poll.

The climate on earth has been changing for good and bad for around 4 billion years. A great deal of the previous change, i.e. before homo erectus, was due to various phenomena such as asteroid/meteor collisions with the earth, huge volcanic eruptions, and the solar wind. Since man's ascendance, we still have the same causal factors mostly external to man's presence.

Some of the greatest air pollution has come from eruptions of Mt. St. Helens, Mt. Vesuvius, Mt. Etna, Krakatoa, etc. There's even geologic/vulcanologic of massive eruptions in the area of Yellowstone National Park; and there, one is overdue.

We also have huge geopolitical problems, especially with the China and India. They're growing their economies, and the hell with the rest of the world. Their contributions to global pollution far outweigh anything by the U.S.

As to alternative fuel usage, developing countries can't afford green technology on any level. A country can't escalate its growth from 3rd World, even to 2nd World, without using fossil fuels, whether oil or coal based.
There isn't a great deal of denial that the climat... (show quote)



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Feb 12, 2019 10:58:28   #
TriX Loc: Raleigh, NC
 
pendennis wrote:
There isn't a great deal of denial that the climate changes. However, the "Greens" insisted that the world was cooling in the 70's, then warming in the 90's, and having lost both arguments, have shifted the argument to climate change. They've even falsified weather data studies to support their case, and in doing so, have lost credibility with huge numbers of folks. Politicizing science is not a good idea, nor is using a term like "scientific consensus", especially when the 94% was based on a badly conducted poll.

The climate on earth has been changing for good and bad for around 4 billion years. A great deal of the previous change, i.e. before homo erectus, was due to various phenomena such as asteroid/meteor collisions with the earth, huge volcanic eruptions, and the solar wind. Since man's ascendance, we still have the same causal factors mostly external to man's presence.

Some of the greatest air pollution has come from eruptions of Mt. St. Helens, Mt. Vesuvius, Mt. Etna, Krakatoa, etc. There's even geologic/vulcanologic of massive eruptions in the area of Yellowstone National Park; and there, one is overdue.

We also have huge geopolitical problems, especially with the China and India. They're growing their economies, and the hell with the rest of the world. Their contributions to global pollution far outweigh anything by the U.S.

As to alternative fuel usage, developing countries can't afford green technology on any level. A country can't escalate its growth from 3rd World, even to 2nd World, without using fossil fuels, whether oil or coal based.
There isn't a great deal of denial that the climat... (show quote)


Just because third world / poorer countries do not share our ideals, does not mean we, as a country, should not do our part. The same logic would argue that since we can’t stop communism, female genital mutilation, deforestation, ritual murder, stoning and famine (just to name a few ills), we should allow the same? Europe and many other countries do realize the world threat that faces us and have committed to do their part, and the fact that we are pulling out of the climate control accords is appalling.

There is no doubt that our long-term weather is influenced by factors beyond our control, BUT the best weather modeling we can currently conduct indicates we are contributing to the problem, so why not do our best to minimize that contribution, especially since the move to less polluting forms of energy will become a necessity eventually as fossil fuels are exhausted.

Personally, I have spent much of my computer career working with the agencies acquiring the data and analyzing it, and having seen organizations such as NOAA, NCAR, NASA, NCDC, JHU-APL and the various supercomputing sites supporting the modeling, I can tell you from first hand experience and talking with literally many hundreds of scientists in the community, that the data is not being falsified. As I suggested to a previous poster, go examine the data for yourself - it is freely available to anyone with a computer - just start with EOS (earth observation system), and see the visual and climatic data for yourself. Take a look at the satellite views of the arctic over the last 10-20 years and then decide if you think the data is being falsified. Finally ask yourself what would be the purpose of this vast “conspiracy”? Are all these tens of thousands of scientists from all over the world who have spent their lives studying this data wrong? Are they all in-league to deceive us, and to what purpose?

Finally, if you’ve lived in the same area for decades, what do you observe in your own backyard? Here in NC, the climate is slowly becoming warmer and more variable - even our local climate zone for the hardiness of plants has changed in my lifetime. Can you deny what you see with your own eyes? We have owned a condo on the NC coast for about 40 years. Until a few years ago, we had never seen our low lying parking areas flood. Now they do it regularly, and pumps have been installed to control it (and no, there has been no construction or topography changes that would affect it). I sold the condo last year, because when it becomes uninsurable, it will be impossible to borrow money to purchase it, and it will be worthless. I may be a few years too soon, but I can see the trend.

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Feb 12, 2019 11:08:38   #
TriX Loc: Raleigh, NC
 
davefales wrote:
Anyone who says "the science is settled" is not a scientist...even if they have a STEM degree.

Thankfully, the 97% claim has been proven bogus. But the fact that a lot of people believe it makes it difficult to have a serious discussion of what changes are worth the accompanying negatives.


Please share with us what claim you’re referring to, and the facts surrounding it (and how, whatever it is, has been proven bogus). Not arguing - I just don’t know for sure what you’re referring to.

And btw, in regards to another post, this thread has never been about photography, and doesn’t need to be since it’s in the general chit-chat section.

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